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Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks – 9/4/20 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat 9/4/20: NBA Basketball free preview, analysis, prediction, odds and pick against the spread.
2020-09-04 18:30:00 EDT

The Miami Heat and Milwaukee Bucks meet Friday in game three of NBA playoff action at the HP Field House.    

The Miami Heat look to remain unbeaten in the playoffs will expanding their series lead to 3-0. The Miami Heat are averaging 112.7 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 103.5 points on 45.7 percent shooting. Goran Dragic is averaging 23.5 points and 4.8 assists while Jimmy Butler is averaging 22 points and 4.7 rebounds. Tyler Herro is the third double-digit scorer and Bam Adebayo is dishing five assists. The Miami Heat are shooting 38.8 percent from beyond the arc and 80.3 percent from the free thitem line. The Miami Heat are allowing 37.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game.

The Milwaukee Bucks need a victory here to shave the series lead to 1-2. The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 114.1 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 109.4 points on 43.1 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28.6 points and 14.9 rebounds while Khris Middleton is averaging 18 points and 5.6 assists. Brook Lopez is the third double-digit scorer and Eric Bledsoe is dishing 5.8 assists. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 38.3 percent from beyond the arc and 71.8 percent from the free thitem line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 37.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48 rebounds per game.

The Bucks are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 Friday games and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest. The Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Heat last 7 overall. The Bucks are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Miami and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

The Miami Heat continues to dominate the Bucks with high level defensive energy and a balanced offense where anybody can be the best player on any particular night. While game two came down to the wire, the Heat were in control of that game from the start and they overcame constant brutal officiating that favored the Bucks most of the way. At some point we have to believe what we’re seeing and say that the Heat just have the Bucks number and are the better team in the playoffs. I’m not sure what the Bucks can do to change this thing.

I mentioned from the start I have the Heat winning this series and will be taking the points and ML in every game. No reason to change that.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Heat +5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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