Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks - 9/6/20 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks - 9/6/20 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Milwaukee Bucks (60-21) at Miami Heat (51-29)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, September 6, 2020 at 3:30 pm (HP Field House)

The Line: Miami Heat -1 -- Over/Under: 220 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Heat and Milwaukee Bucks meet Sunday in game four of NBA playoff action at the HP Field House.      

The Miami Heat would advance to their first conference final since 2013-14 with a victory here. The Miami Heat are averaging 113 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 103 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 23.1 points and five rebounds while Goran Dragic is averaging 22.3 points and 4.6 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Tyler Herro is dishing 2.9 assists. The Miami Heat are shooting 38.7 percent from beyond the arc and 80.2 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45 rebounds per game.

Check Out Our Consensus Report To See How Many Handicappers are On A Play

The Milwaukee Bucks need a victory here to save their season and force a game five on Tuesday. The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 112.4 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 110.1 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 27.6 points and 15 rebounds while Khris Middleton is averaging 18 points and 5.8 assists. Brook Lopez is the third double-digit scorer and Eric Bledsoe is dishing 5.4 assists. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 71.8 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 37.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.5 rebounds per game.

The Bucks are 10-25-1 ATS in their last 36 playoff games as an underdog, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 games as an underdog. The under is 6-2 in Heat last 8 overall. The Bucks are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Miami and 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

I said from the beginning that I had the Heat winning this series, and they've shown through three games that they're comfortably the better team. Antetokounmpo looks confused on the court and he's getting very little help from his teammates. What's scarier is that I don't think the Heat have played their best game yet, as Robinson and others can light it up from the outside. Bottom line here is the Bucks had a 12-point lead in the fourth quarter of last game and blew it. It's tough to come back from that, especially when you've spent the last two months in a hotel room. The Milwaukee Bucks likely just want to go home at this point and get from behind those walls.

The Miami Heat complete the sweep.

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Randy’s Pick Miami Heat -1

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.