Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics - 9/19/20 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
Boston Celtics (56-29) at Miami Heat (54-30)
NBA Basketball: Saturday, September 19, 2020 at 8:30 pm (AdventHealth Arena)
The Line: Miami Heat +3 -- Over/Under: 206.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Miami Heat and Boston Celtics meet Saturday in game three of the Eastern Conference Finals NBA playoffs at the AdventHealth Arena.
The Miami Heat look for another victory to take a commanding 3-0 series lead. The Miami Heat are averaging 112 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 104.4 points on 45 percent shooting. Goran Dragic is averaging 22.2 points and 4.6 assists while Jimmy Butler is averaging 20.9 points and 5.4 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Tyler Herro is dishing four assists. The Miami Heat are shooting 38 percent from beyond the arc and 81.5 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game.
The Boston Celtics need a bounce back performance here to give themselves a realistic chance of winning this series. The Boston Celtics are averaging 107.6 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 101.8 points on 41.3 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 25.3 points and 10 rebounds while Jaylen Brown is averaging 20.7 points and two assists. Kemba Walker is the third double-digit scorer and Marcus Smart is grabbing 5.2 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 80.8 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 31.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.
The Celtics are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Conference Finals games. The Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The under is 9-2 in Celtics last 11 overall. The Celtics are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Miami and 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Once again, I had the Heat winning this series before it began, and they're two wins from completing the task, covering and winning both games as an underdog. One could argue the Celtics should have won both games because of big second half leads, but those blown leads don't help Boston moving forward as it's tough to come back from those sort of losses. Heck, there's reports of the Celtics blowing up in the locker room after game two, another reason to be turned off by this team. I'll say it again, the Heat are the deeper, better team and have the better coach on the sidelines. Give me the Heat for a third straight victory.