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Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers – 9/24/20 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets 9/24/20: NBA Basketball free preview, analysis, prediction, odds and pick against the spread.
2020-09-24 21:00:00 EDT

The Los Angeles Lakers and Denver Nuggets meet Thursday in game four of the NBA Western Conference Finals at the AdventHealth Arena.

The Los Angeles Lakers look for a bounce back showing to take a commanding 3-1 series lead. The Los Angeles Lakers are averaging 113.7 points on 49.7 percent shooting and allowing 106.4 points on 44.8 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 28.5 points and 10 rebounds while LeBron James is averaging 25.9 points and 8.8 assists. Kyle Kuzma is the third double-digit scorer and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is grabbing 1.8 rebounds. The Los Angeles Lakers are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 73.4 percent from the free thitem line. The Los Angeles Lakers are allowing 36.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44 rebounds per game.

The Denver Nuggets look for back-to-back victories to even up the series at 2-2. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 107.4 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 109 points on 47.3 percent shooting. Jamal Murray is averaging 26.6 points and 6.5 assists while Nikola Jokic is averaging 25.2 points and 10.2 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Jerami Grant is grabbing 3.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.6 percent from beyond the arc and 80.7 percent from the free thitem line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 37.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.4 rebounds per game.

The Lakers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. The under is 7-2-2 in Nuggets last 11 overall. The Lakers are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Denver and 10-21 ATS in the last 31 meetings.

I’ve said from the beginning of this series that the Nuggets have the scoring and the depth to give the Lakers a scare, and they’re a boneheaded defensive play away from having a 2-1 series lead. It’s really about defensive effort with the Nuggets that determines wins and losses, and while they allowed the Lakers to shoot 52 percent from the field in game three, they held the Lakers to 23 percent shooting from deep and forced 16 turnovers. As has been the case for most of these playoffs, I want the Nuggets and the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Denver Nuggets +6

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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