Game 3: Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers NBA Finals Picks, Odds, Predictions 10/4/20

Game 3: Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers NBA Finals Picks, Odds, Predictions 10/4/20 Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Los Angeles Lakers (66-22) at Miami Heat (56-34)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, October 4, 2020 at 7:30 pm (AdventHealth Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat +8.5 -- Over/Under: 218.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Los Angeles Lakers and Miami Heat meet Sunday in game three of the NBA Finals at the AdventHealth Arena.

The Los Angeles Lakers look to take a commanding 3-0 series lead with a victory here. The Los Angeles Lakers are averaging 114.6 points on 49.6 percent shooting and allowing 106.5 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 29.3 points and 9.6 rebounds while LeBron James is averaging 27 points and 8.9 assists. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is the third double-digit scorer and Kyle Kuzma is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Los Angeles Lakers are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 75.2 percent from the free throw line. The Los Angeles Lakers are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.4 rebounds per game.

The Miami Heat need a victory here to have a real chance of winning this series. The Miami Heat are averaging 111.5 points on 45.9 percent shooting and allowing 108.7 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 21.1 points and 5.6 rebounds while Goran Dragic is averaging 19.9 points and 4.6 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Tyler Herro is dishing 3.8 assists. The Miami Heat are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 82.7 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.1 rebounds per game.

Wonder who the Top Experts Picked? Click Here To Find Out

The Lakers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest, 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Heat are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 1 days rest, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 NBA Championship games and 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 overall. The over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 overall. The under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

The Miami Heat had their chances to win game two, as they were the fourth team in NBA Finals history to shoot 50 percent from the field, 40 percent from three and 90 percent from the free throw line. The Heat just couldn't get a stop defensively or get a rebound and a lot of that had to do with Bam Adebayo being out. Bam mentioned after game two that he expects to play in game three, and that's a major boost to this Heat lineup at both ends of the court. We usually get the best effort from a team that's down 0-2 in a series and if that team is going to win a game in the series, it's usually game three. I'll take the points with the Heat here, assuming Bam is in the lineup. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Miami Heat +8.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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