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Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat NBA Finals Picks, Odds, Predictions 10/9/20

Miami Heat at Los Angeles Lakers 10/9/20: NBA Basketball free preview, analysis, prediction, odds and pick against the spread.
2020-10-09 21:00:00 EDT

The Miami Heat and Los Angeles Lakers meet Friday in game five of the NBA Finals at the AdventHealth Arena.    

The Miami Heat need a victory here to save their season and force a game six on Sunday. The Miami Heat are averaging 110.8 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 108.1 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 22.1 points and 6.2 rebounds while Goran Dragic is averaging 19.9 points and 4.6 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Tyler Herro is dishing 3.7 assists. The Miami Heat are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 83 percent from the free thitem line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.7 rebounds per game.

The Los Angeles Lakers will win their first NBA title since 2009-10 with a victory here. The Los Angeles Lakers are averaging 113.4 points on 49 percent shooting and allowing 106.4 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 28.2 points and 9.3 rebounds while LeBron James is averaging 26.9 points and 8.8 assists. Kyle Kuzma is the third double-digit scorer and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is grabbing 2.1 rebounds. The Los Angeles Lakers are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 75.7 percent from the free thitem line. The Los Angeles Lakers are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.2 rebounds per game.

The Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 2 days rest, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games overall. The Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 NBA Championship games. The over is 5-2 in Heat last 7 overall. The over is 7-3 in Lakers last 10 Friday games. The under is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings in Los Angeles and 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

The Miami Heat have been right there with the Lakers the last two games and probably even up the series in game four if they could just hit an open outside shot or grab a rebound. There’s no excuse for Rondo to have the same number of rebounds in game four as Adebayo. As for this game, I’m going to take the points with the Heat once again. The Heat are finding ways to stay in these games despite not hitting the open outside shots they hit all season, and it’s only a matter of time before those shots start to fall. We should also see a more comfortable Adebayo with extra rest, as he didn’t look to be 100 percent in game four. Give me the points.

If this is the end of the season, see you guys in a couple months! 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Heat +7

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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