Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Picks, Odds, Predictions 1/7/21

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Picks, Odds, Predictions 1/7/21 Photo by Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

Dallas Mavericks (3-4) at Denver Nuggets (3-4)

NBA Basketball: Thursday, January 7, 2021 at 10:00 pm (Ball Arena)

The Line: Denver Nuggets -3.5 -- Over/Under: 227 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Dallas Mavericks and Denver Nuggets meet Thursday in NBA action at the Ball Arena.

The Dallas Mavericks look for a win after splitting their last six games. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 107.7 points on 44.7 percent shooting and allowing 105.1 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 25.8 points and 7.2 assists while Tim Hardaway Jr. is averaging 17 points and four rebounds. Josh Richardson is the third double-digit scorer and Jalen Brunson is grabbing 2.6 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 32.2 percent from beyond the arc and 76.4 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 32.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.

The Denver Nuggets look for a win after splitting their last six games. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 117 points on 49.5 percent shooting and allowing 116 points on 48.4 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 24.1 points and 11.7 rebounds while Jamal Murray is averaging 22.2 points and three assists. Michel Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and JaMychal Green is grabbing five rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 73 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 39.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.7 rebounds per game.

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The Mavericks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games. The Nuggets are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 overall. The over is 33-15-3 in Nuggets last 51 overall. The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Denver and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

The Denver Nuggets are the better team here when playing well, but they've been sluggish out the gate and haven't played a lick of defense. The Dallas Mavericks have the offensive horses to win the game and have a rested Luka leading the way. The Mavs have also won two of the last three meetings against the Nuggets. This feels like a high scoring, back and forth contest. I want the free bucket with the Mavericks. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Dallas Mavericks +3.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

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