Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons NBA Picks, Odds, Predictions 1/16/21

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons NBA Picks, Odds, Predictions 1/16/21 Photo by Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

Detroit Pistons (2-9) at Miami Heat (4-6)

NBA Basketball: Saturday, January 16, 2021 at 8:00 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

The Detroit Pistons invade the AmericanAirlines Arena to battle the Miami Heat on Saturday night.

The Detroit Pistons have been enduring a slow start to their season as they’ve lost nine of their first 11 games and they’ve had to wait extra long as last night’s meeting against the Wizards was postponed. In Wednesday’s 110-101 loss to the Bucks, Jerami Grant led the team with 22 points on seven of 19 shooting, Svi Mykhailiuk added 18 points off the bench while Blake Griffin chipped in with 12 points, seven rebounds and six assists. As a team, the Pistons shot 39 percent from the field and 14 of 35 from the 3-point line as they suffered an ice-cold start and never recovered after scoring just 13 points in the first quarter. On the positive side, the Pistons committed 16 turnovers, shot much worse than the Bucks and only lost by single digits as they just fought till the end.

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been struggling so far as they’ve won just four of their first 10 games and they will be hoping to avoid a third straight loss after getting routed by the 76ers in a 125-108 road loss on Thursday. Duncan Robinson led the team with 22 points on nine of 14 shooting, Gabe Vincent added 21 points with eight assists while Tyler Herro chipped in with 17 points. As a team, the Heat shot 49 percent from the field and 12 of 34 from the 3-point line, but you just knew early on that the Heat just didn’t have the firepower to last after the 76ers poured in 73 points in the first half. The Heat are just missing too many key players at the moment due to health and safety protocols and they’ll again be without Jimmy Butler, Goran Dragic, Avery Bradley, Bam Adebayo and Kendrick Nunn.

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Looking at the betting trends, the Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last six games playing on zero days rest, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a losing record and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against a team with a losing record.

Head to head, the over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings overall, the Pistons are 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings overall and the Pistons are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Miami.

The Miami Heat are still going to be undermanned, but they're expected to get some players back from the COVID-19 mess. Either way, the Heat are the better team here with just eight players or 15 players. The Detroit Pistons are below average both offensive and defensively and aren't a team you should be looking to back these days. I'll lay the bucket with the Heat at home.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Peter’s Pick Miami Heat -2

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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