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Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat NBA Picks, Odds, Predictions 2/17/21

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat NBA Picks, Odds, Predictions 2/17/21
2021-02-17 22:00:00 EDT

The Miami Heat and the Golden State Warriors duke it out at the Chase Center on Wednesday night.

The Miami Heat have been in decent shape as they’ve split their last eight games, but they will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after falling short against the Clippers in a 125-118 road loss on Monday. Jimmy Butler led the team with a triple-double of 30 points with 10 rebounds and 10 assists, Bam Adebayo added 27 points with 12 rebounds and seven assists while Tyler Herro scored 27 points on 11 of 20 shooting off the bench. As a team, the Heat shot 50 percent from the field and eight of 36 from the 3-point line as they kept up with the shorthanded Clippers until midway through the fourth quarter where the Clippers went on a pivotal 17-6 run to pull away late.

Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors have been in pretty good shape lately as they’ve won three of their past four games and they will be looking to stay hot after making light work of the Cavaliers in a 129-98 home win on Monday. Stephen Curry led the team with 36 points and six assists on 13 of 19 shooting, Andrew Wiggins added 15 points, Eric Paschal and Kelly Oubre Jr each scored 14 points while Draymond Green chipped in with six points, eight rebounds, 16 assists and two blocks. As a team, the Warriors shot 52 percent from the field and 17 of 37 from the 3-point line as they took a 10-point lead into halftime, before outscoring the Cavaliers by 65-44 in the second half to make it an absolute blowout.  

Looking at the betting trends, the Heat are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a loss, 0-5 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a losing record, 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a win of more than 10 points and 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games against a team with a losing road record.

Head to head, the Heat are 5-1-2 ATS in the last eight meetings in Golden State and the Heat are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings overall.

The Heat were playing some of their best basketball of the season before dropping their last two games to elite competition in the Jazz and the Clippers, so it’s not too surprising that they’ve opened as the minor road favorites here, especially given how shorthanded the Warriors are in the frontcourt with Kevon Looney and James Wiseman still out injured. However, while I think this should be a close one, the Warriors as underdogs at home is too tempting for me to pass up.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Golden State +1.5

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Peter Tran

Peter Trans is an acclaimed Expert NBA Handicapper, renowned for his insightful analysis and predictions in the world of professional basketball. With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of the game, Peter has established himself as a trusted authority among basketball enthusiasts and bettors alike. His expertise is showcased on SportsChatPlace.com, where he provides in-depth game analyses, betting tips, and forecasts that are both highly informative and remarkably accurate.

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