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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat NBA Picks, Odds, Predictions 5/27/2021

Milwaukee Bucks (48-26) vs. Miami Heat (40-34)
May 27, 2021 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat +1; Over/Under: -227.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat meet Thursday in game three of the NBA East Playoffs at the AmericanAirlines Arena.

The Milwaukee Bucks look for a win to take a commanding 3-0 series lead and all but put this thing to bed. The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 120.5 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 102.5 points on 38.1 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28.5 points and 15.5 rebounds while Khris Middleton is averaging 22 points and 4.5 assists. Jrue Holiday is the third double-digit scorer and Bryn Forbes is grabbing three rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 32.1 percent from beyond the arc and 71.7 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 62.5 rebounds per game.

The Miami Heat need a win here to get back in the series, cutting the deficit to 1-2. The Miami Heat are averaging 102.5 points on 38.1 percent shooting and allowing 120.5 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Goran Dragic is averaging 21.5 points and 2.5 assists while Duncan Robinson is averaging 17 points and three rebounds. Jimmy Butler is the third double-digit scorer and Bam Adebayo is grabbing 7.5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 72.2 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 32.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game.

The Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Heat are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The over is 5-2 in Bucks last 7 overall. The over is 12-3 in Heat last 15 overall. The Bucks are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Miami.

The Milwaukee Bucks got the mental block out of the way in game one and absolutely beat the breaks off the Heat in game two. There’s good reason why people are all over the Bucks in this spot and are predicting this being a quick series. However, the Heat aren’t nearly as bad as they’ve been in the first two games and they’re coming home to an arena that will be opened up to 17,000 people. That’s a major boost for a Heat team on the ropes. Don’t be surprised if shots fall at a higher clip in this contest for the Heat. I like the Heat to get on the board with a victory here.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Heat +1

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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