Milwaukee Bucks (58-31) vs. Phoenix Suns (63-25)
July 8, 2021 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Phoenix Suns -5.5; Over/Under: 221
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The Milwaukee Bucks and Phoenix Suns meet Thursday in game 2 of the NBA Finals at the Phoenix Suns Arena. The Bucks need a win here to even up the series at 1-1. The Suns look for another win to take a quick 2-0 series lead.
The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 109.6 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 104.5 points on 44.3 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 27.7 points and 12.9 rebounds while Khris Middleton is averaging 23.7 points and five assists. Jrue Holiday is the third double-digit scorer and Brook Lopez is grabbing 6.1 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 31.9 percent from beyond the arc and 70.6 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.7 rebounds per game.
The Phoenix Suns are averaging 109.4 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 102.1 points on 43.1 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 27 points and 4.8 assists while Chris Paul is averaging 19 points and 3.9 rebounds. Deandre Ayton is the third double-digit scorer and Mikal Bridges is grabbing 4.1 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 87 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44 rebounds per game.
The Bucks are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Suns are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 home games and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The under is 9-4 in Bucks last 13 games as an underdog. The over is 15-6 in Suns last 21 games as a favorite. The Bucks are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Phoenix and 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
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The Bucks and free points are worth a look here, as they’ve bounced back nicely from losses this postseason and the return of Antetokounmpo is a big deal. The concern is that the Bucks finally shot well from three and were never really in the opening game. As I’ve said many times already, the Suns have just been too consistent and have been the best team throughout these playoffs. With covers in 11 of their last 14 games, I’m just not eager to bet against the Suns. I’ll keep riding the hot hand until it runs cold. Give me the Suns and the reasonable chalk.