Miami Heat (59-30) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (55-35)
May 6, 2022 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia 76ers +1; Over/Under: 210.5
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The Miami Heat and Philadelphia 76ers meet Friday in Game 3 of the NBA Playoffs at the Wells Fargo Center. The Miami Heat can all but end this series with a win and a 3-0 lead. The Philadelphia 76ers need a win here to cut the series deficit to 1-2.
The Miami Heat are averaging 110.3 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 97.4 points on 44 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 26.5 points and 7.7 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 15.6 points and 8.7 rebounds. Tyler Herro is the third double-digit scorer and Victor Oladipo is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 80.6 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 29.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.6 rebounds per game.
The Philadelphia 76ers are averaging 108 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 105.5 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Tyrese Maxey is averaging 22.6 points and 4 assists, while Tobias Harris is averaging 19.4 points and 2.8 assists. James Harden is the third double-digit scorer and Danny Green is dishing 1 assist. The Philadelphia 76ers are shooting 36.2 percent from beyond the arc and 85.6 percent from the free throw line. The Philadelphia 76ers are allowing 31.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.3 rebounds per game.
The Heat are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 road games and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The 76ers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 6-1 in Heat last 7 overall. The under is 5-2 in 76ers last 7 overall. The Heat are 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
We still don’t know if Joel Embiid is going to get cleared for this contest, and even if he does play, there’s no telling how effective he’ll be with a thumb and face injury. We do know that Kyle Lowry has been upgraded to questionable, so there’s a good chance he’s going to play in this contest. The Heat have comfortably been the better team in this series, and they’ve won and covered five of the last seven meetings against the 76ers. The Heat are also winning their last five games by an average of 11.2 points. In a near pick em and the questionable status of Embiid, I have to ride the hot hand and side with Miami.