NBA Picks

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers 5/10/22 NBA Picks, Predictions, Odds

Philadelphia 76ers (57-35) vs. Miami Heat (59-32)
May 10, 2022 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -3; Over/Under: 209.5
(Click here for latest betting odds)

The Philadelphia 76ers and Miami Heat meet Tuesday in Game 5 of the NBA Playoffs at the FTX Arena. The Philadelphia 76ers look for a third straight win to take a 3-2 series lead. The Miami Heat need to keep the trend of the home team winning every game to take a 3-2 lead.

The Philadelphia 76ers are averaging 107.9 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 103.1 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Joel Embiid is averaging 24.9 points and 2.1 assists, while Tyrese Maxey is averaging 22 points and 4.2 assists. James Harden is the third double-digit scorer and Tobias Harris is dishing 3.4 assists. The Philadelphia 76ers are shooting 38.7 percent from beyond the arc and 84.4 percent from the free throw line. The Philadelphia 76ers are allowing 32.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.8 rebounds per game.

The Miami Heat are averaging 106.6 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 99.7 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 29 points and 7.3 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 15.4 points and 7.9 rebounds. Tyler Herro is the third double-digit scorer and Victor Oladpio is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 32 percent from beyond the arc and 81.2 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.9 rebounds per game.

The 76ers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games and 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 Tuesday games. The Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The over is 6-0 in 76ers last 6 Tuesday games. The under is 7-2 in Heat last 9 overall. The 76ers are 1-6-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Miami.

The home team has won the last six meetings between the 76ers and Heat, and eight of the last 10 meetings overall. The home team has also covered six straight. I know the 76ers are getting a lot of love lately and have momentum, but you could have said the same thing about the Heat after they took a 2-0 lead. Momentum is only a thing until it’s not. The Heat were horrible from three in game 4 and still had their chances to win, as they trailed by only four points entering the fourth quarter. At home, shots should fall at a higher clip for the Heat. I’ll back the trend of the home success and lay the bucket with Miami.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:
Miami Heat -3

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA.
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