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Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat 5/12/22 NBA Picks, Predictions, Odds

Miami Heat (60-32) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (57-36)
May 12, 2022 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia 76ers -2.5; Over/Under: 207
(Click here for latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat and Philadelphia 76ers meet Thursday in Game 6 of the NBA Playoffs at the Wells Fargo Center. The Miami Heat will advance to their second conference finals in the last three years with a win here. The Philadelphia 76ers look to save their season and force a game 7 on Sunday.

The Miami Heat are averaging 107.9 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 98.2 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 28.3 points and 7.6 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 15.1 points and 7.7 rebounds. Tyler Herro is the third double-digit scorer and Victor Oladipo is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 32.7 percent from beyond the arc and 80.4 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 33.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.6 rebounds per game.

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The Philadelphia 76ers are averaging 105.8 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 104.6 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Joel Embiid is averaging 24 points and 2.1 assists, while Tyrese Maxey is averaging 20.8 points and 3.9 assists. James Harden is the third double-digit scorer and Tobias Harris is grabbing 7.5 rebounds. The Philadelphia 76ers are shooting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc and 84.9 percent from the free throw line. The Philadelphia 76ers are allowing 30.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.4 rebounds per game.

The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. The under is 8-2 in Heat last 10 overall. The under is 7-3 in 76ers last 10 overall. The Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.

We’ve seen a team score under 100 points four times in this series, and the under has hit in seven of the 10 meetings between these teams. The Philadelphia 76ers are averaging 99 points in their last five games while shooting 44.9 percent from the field. Joel Embiid doesn’t look like himself with his mask on, and Harden continues to struggle outside of a game 4 explosion. This could be another offensive struggle for at least one particular team. Give me the under.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:
Under 207

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA.

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