NBA Picks

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors 5/22/22 NBA Picks, Predictions, Odds

Golden State Warriors (63-32) vs. Dallas Mavericks (60-37)
May 22, 2022 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks -2.5; Over/Under: -218.5
(Click here for latest betting odds)

The Golden State Warriors and the Dallas Mavericks collide in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals at the American Airlines Center on Sunday night.

The Golden State Warriors will be looking to take a commanding 3-0 series lead after rallying back to take down the Mavericks in a 126-117 win in Game 2 on Friday. Stephen Curry led the team with 32 points, eight rebounds and five assists, Jordan Poole added 23 points and five assists off the bench, Kevon Looney provided 21 points with 12 rebounds while Andrew Wiggins chipped in with 16 points and five assists. As a team, the Warriors shot a healthy 56 percent from the field and 14 of 28 from the 3-point line as they got off to a terrible start and trailed by 19 points after leaking 40 points in the second quarter, but they kept their heads and flipped the game on its head with a 68-45 second half to finish with one of their best comeback wins of the season. The only real blemish from the victory was Draymond Green who played just 28 minutes before fouling out, but it gave more opportunity to Looney who shot 10 of 14 from the field.

Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks will be kicking themselves after missing out on a key opportunity to square up the series on Friday. Luka Doncic led the team with 42 points and eight assists, Jalen Brunson added 31 points with seven rebounds and five assists while Reggie Bullock chipped in with 21 points. As a team, the Mavericks shot 47 percent from the field and a sizzling 21 of 45 from the 3-point line as they got off to a flyer and looked to be in full control after exploding for 72 points in the first half, but they couldn’t maintain the pace and saw all their hard work go down the drain in the third quarter where they scored just 13 points to allow the Warriors back into the contest. The second unit was really poor on this occasion as their bench was outscored by the Warriors’ bench by 36-13.

Looking at the betting trends, the Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games, 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog and 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine Sunday games. The Mavericks are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 home games, 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games against a team with a winning record and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. 

Head to head, the over is 8-1 in the last nine meetings in Dallas, the Warriors are 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings in Dallas and the Warriors are 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings overall. 

The Mavericks will be so disappointed that they weren’t able to get the job done despite leading big in Game 2, but they’ll be banking on better performances from their role players now that they’re back at home. The Warriors weren’t at their sharpest in the first half on Friday, but they turned the tide with their defense in the third quarter before they exploded for 43 points in the fourth quarter. Doncic really bounced back from his quiet Game 1 performance with 42 points in Game 2, but he just needs some help from his teammates. It’s hard to make much of an argument for the Mavericks after what we saw on Friday, but I think the role players step up at home in what is a near must-win game. Give me the Mavs to bounce back in a close one behind a monster game from Doncic.

Peter Tran's Free Pick:
Dallas -2.5

Peter Tran

Professional NBA Handicapper at
Back to top button