NBA Prop Bets: Boston Celtics at Miami Heat Game 5 May 25, 2022 – ECF

The Boston Celtics face the Miami Heat in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals at FTX Arena. Let’s take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday’s matchup. The Celtics are favored to win at -121, currently marked as 1.0-point favorites, while the Heat are at +100. The total points line is set at 203.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 102-101 Boston.

• The Celtics (-115) have a 53-41-3 ATS record this season including playoffs, while the Heat (-106) hold a record of 55-41-1.
• The Celtics have a 47-48-2 O/U record this season including playoffs (meaning 47 games have gone over the total points line, 48 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Heat have a 54-43-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• Boston has averaged 108.8 points throughout this season’s playoffs, while giving up 102.1. Comparatively, Miami has scored 105.9 per game and allowed 100.7. Looking at their best and worst postseason offensive performances, the Celtics’ playoff-high is 127 while their playoff-low is 89. Meanwhile, the Heat’s high is 120 and low is 79.

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing during the postseason?

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits during the playoffs, 46.0% of the Celtics’ field goal attempts have come from three point range, leaving 54.0% from two. Meanwhile, the Heat’s opponents have taken 43.9% of their attempts from three and 56.1% from two.
• Comparatively, Miami has taken 40.4% of shots from three, leaving 59.6% from two, while Boston’s opponents have attempted 34.7% from three and 65.3% from two.

Shooting Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Celtics have shot 36.8% from deep throughout the postseason, compared to the Heat who are making 32.6% of their attempts.
• On the opposite end, Boston has held opponents to 33.2% of their three-point attempts, while Miami’s opponents have hit 34.0% of their shots.

Ball Protection

• The Celtics are committing 12.9 turnovers per game in these playoffs, while the Heat have forced 14.9 turnovers across the postseason.
• Flipping that script, Boston is forcing 12.2 turnovers, while Miami is committing 11.9.

Crashing the Boards

• Boston is pulling down 42.7 rebounds per game during the playoffs, including 9.1 offensive boards. Conversely, Miami’s opponents are averaging 39.8 rebounds, 8.3 of which have come on the offensive end.
• Meanwhile, the Heat have averaged 40.6 rebounds and 9.3 offensive rebounds, while the Celtics are allowing 42.4 and 9.9.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in this season’s playoffs.

• Total Home Road Favorite Underdog
• Boston 8-7-0 3-5-0 5-2-0 3-5-0 5-2-0
• Miami 8-7-0 5-3-0 3-4-0 6-4-0 2-3-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in this season’s playoffs.

• Total Home Road Favorite Underdog
• Boston 10-4-1 4-3-1 6-1-0 4-3-1 6-1-0
• Miami 8-7-0 5-3-0 3-4-0 6-4-0 2-3-0

HT/FT

• The Celtics have completed the HT/FT double in 49.5% of games since the beginning of the regular season, while the Heat have completed the HT/FT double in 50.5% of games. During the playoffs, Boston has completed the HT/FT double in seven of 15 games, while Miami has completed the HT/FT double in eight of 15 contests.

To Go To Overtime

• The Celtics have played in seven games that went to overtime since the beginning of the regular season, while the Heat have appeared in four. Both Boston and Heat are yet to play in game that went to overtime during this season’s playoffs.

Last Time They Met

The Celtics recorded a lopsided 102-82 victory against the Heat at TD Garden on Monday. The series is now tied at 2-2. Jayson Tatum was prominent on that day, recording 31 points, 8 rebounds, 5 assists and 2 blocks.