NBA Picks

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks 11/23/22 NBA Picks, Predictions, Odds

Dallas Mavericks (9-7) vs. Boston Celtics (13-4)
November 23, 2022 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Celtics -4.5; Over/Under: +222
(Click here for latest betting odds)

The Dallas Mavericks and Boston Celtics meet Wednesday in NBA action at the TD Garden. The Dallas Mavericks have split their last 10 games. The Boston Celtics have won 10 of their last 12 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 108.6 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 106.3 points on 47.5 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 34.4 points and 7.8 assists, while Spencer Dinwiddie is averaging 17.6 points and 3.4 rebounds. Christian Wood is the third double-digit scorer and Tim Hardaway Jr. is grabbing 2.1 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 33.9 percent from beyond the arc and 74.7 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.8 rebounds per game.

The Boston Celtics are averaging 120.2 points on 48.7 percent shooting and allowing 113 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 30.3 points and 7.4 rebounds, while Jaylen Brown is averaging 25.3 points and 3.5 assists. Malcolm Brogdon is the third double-digit scorer and Al Horford is grabbing 6.9 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 39.1 percent from beyond the arc and 84.5 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.8 rebounds per game.

The Mavericks are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games and 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The over is 5-2 in Mavericks last 7 road games. The under is 3-1-1 in Celtics last 5 overall. The Mavericks are 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Boston.

I’m assuming Jayson Tatum is going to play with this line being what it is. As good as the Dallas Mavericks can be, they’ve been hit or miss this season, and they lose on the road by an average of 3 points. The Boston Celtics are hot again, and they’re at home, where they win by an average of 8.7 points and shoot 51.3 percent from the field. I’ll lay the reasonable number with the Celtics at home.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:
Boston Celtics -4.5
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