Milwaukee Bucks (22-10) vs. Boston Celtics (23-10)
December 25, 2022 5:00 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Celtics -4.5; Over/Under: 225.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Milwaukee Bucks and Boston Celtics meet Christmas Day in NBA action at the TD Garden. The Milwaukee Bucks have split their last 8 games. The Boston Celtics have lost 5 of their last 7 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 112.5 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 109.2 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 31.6 points and 11.2 rebounds, while Jrue Holiday is averaging 18.8 points and 5.3 rebounds. Brook Lopez is the third double-digit scorer and Bobby Portis is grabbing 10 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 74 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.3 rebounds per game.
The Boston Celtics are averaging 118.1 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 112.2 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 30.6 points and 8.1 rebounds, while Jaylen Brown is averaging 26.2 points and 3.5 assists. Malcolm Brogdon is the third double-digit scorer and Marcus Smart is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 37.6 percent from beyond the arc and 82.8 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game.
The Bucks are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. The Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 overall. The under is 7-3 in Celtics last 10 overall. The Bucks are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Boston and 3-13-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings.
It’s hard to lay chalk with the Boston Celtics with the way they’ve played over the last week, and they’re shooting under 41 percent in their last 5 games. The Milwaukee Bucks also aren’t a team you often get in the underdog role, and we saw in last year’s playoffs how competitive games between these clubs can be. Five of the last 9 meetings between these teams have been decided by 8 or fewer points. While the Bucks have been waxed this season when underdogs, I just can’t turn down the free buckets here.