Phoenix Suns (19-14) vs. Denver Nuggets (20-11)
December 25, 2022 10:30 pm EDT
The Line: Denver Nuggets -4.5; Over/Under: +231.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Phoenix Suns travel to the Ball Arena to do battle with the Denver Nuggets on Christmas Day.
The Phoenix Suns have been in a major slump as they’ve lost seven of their last 10 games overall and they will be hoping to snap a two-game skid after getting thrashed by the Grizzlies in a 125-100 loss on Friday. DeAndre Ayton led the team with 18 points on nine of 12 shooting, Landry Shamet added 15 points while Duane Washington Jr chipped in with 14 points and five assists off the bench. As a team, the Suns shot 43 percent from the field and nine of 35 from the 3-point line as they struggled to match the intensity of the Grizzlies from the tipoff and never had a chance after getting blown out by 39-20 in the first quarter to fall behind by as many as 34 points in this one.
Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets have been in great form as they’ve won six of their last seven games overall and they will be gunning for a fourth straight victory after routing the Trail Blazers in a 120-107 home win on Friday. Nikola Jokic led the team with 29 points, eight rebounds and 11 assists, Jamal Murray added 25 points with eight rebounds and 12 assists, while Michael Porter Jr. chipped in with 18 points on seven of 13 shooting. As a team, the Nuggets shot a healthy 58 percent from the field and 10 of 21 from the 3-point line as they leaked 37 points in the second quarter to fall behind going into halftime, but they took control of the contest with a 35-16 third quarter push to flip the script and earn yet another win.
Looking at the betting trends, the Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games, 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a winning record and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Nuggets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a win of more than 10 points and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Head to head, the over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings overall, the Suns are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings overall and the Suns are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings in Denver.
The Suns will be shorthanded for this one as Cameron Payne and Devin Booker are still out, while the Nuggets are keeping an eye on Jamal Murray who is listed as day to day for this one. The Suns are mired in their worst slump of the season, they’re banged up and just got blown out by the Grizzlies in their last outing. The Nuggets have quietly been one of the form teams of the league and they’re almost at full strength for this one, so with the line so short, I’ll back the Nuggets to cap off Christmas Day with a win and cover at home.