Miami Heat (14-15) vs. Houston Rockets (9-18)
December 15, 2022 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Rockets +5; Over/Under: +223.5
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The Miami Heat and Houston Rockets meet Thursday in NBA action at the Toyota Center. The Miami Heat have split their last 8 games. The Houston Rockets have won 4 of their last 6 games.
The Miami Heat are averaging 107.9 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 109.3 points on 47.1 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 21.7 points and 6.7 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 20.8 points and 9.5 rebounds. Tyler Herro is the third double-digit scorer and Kyle Lowry is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 33.7 percent from beyond the arc and 83.2 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.3 rebounds per game.
The Houston Rockets are averaging 110.3 points on 44.3 percent shooting and allowing 115.5 points on 47.5 percent shooting. Jalen Green is averaging 21.8 points and 3.5 rebounds, while Kevin Porter Jr. is averaging 18.7 points and 5.5 rebounds. Alperen Sengun is the third double-digit scorer and Eric Gordon is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 33.9 percent from beyond the arc and 78.8 percent from the free throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.7 rebounds per game.
The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Rockets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games. The under is 6-2 in Heat last 8 road games. The under is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 overall. The Heat are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Houston and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
The Miami Heat should be favored given they’re the better team, but every game comes down to the wire, and they have lost to bad teams all year. It doesn’t help the Heat are on the end of a back to back and dealing with a banged up Jimmy Butler. The Houston Rockets are playing some of their best ball of the season, and that includes wins over the Bucks and Suns. With the rest advantage and at home, give me the Rockets and the free buckets.