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Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks 12/11/22 NBA Picks, Predictions, Odds

Milwaukee Bucks (19-6) vs. Houston Rockets (7-18)
December 11, 2022 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Rockets +9.5; Over/Under: +232
(Get latest betting odds)

The Milwaukee Bucks and the Houston Rockets collide at the Toyota Center on Sunday night.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been in fine form as they’ve won seven of their past eight games and they will be gunning for a fifth straight victory after outlasting the Mavericks in a 106-105 road win on Friday. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with 28 points, 10 rebounds and three assists, Khris Middleton added 19 points with five assists while Jrue Holiday chipped in with 17 points, seven rebounds and six assists. As a team, the Bucks shot 43 percent from the field and 11 of 32 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in trouble after they leaked 36 points in the third quarter to fall behind by 12 points, but they held their nerve and dominated the fourth quarter by 33-21 to steal the game in a close finish.

Meanwhile, the Houston Rockets have been in decent form as they’ve split their last eight games, but they will be hoping to bounce back here after getting stopped by the Spurs in a 118-109 road loss on Thursday. Jabari Smith Jr led the team with 23 points on nine of 13 shooting, Alperen Sengun added 16 points with 11 rebounds while Eric Gordon and Jalen Green scored 14 points apiece. As a team, the Rockets shot 44 percent from the field and 10 of 29 from the 3-point line as they got off to a quick start and took the lead into halftime, but they got ambushed by the Spurs who exploded for 39 points in the third quarter to put them behind by 20 points.

Looking at the betting trends, the Bucks are 1-3-2 ATS in their last six road games, 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a win and 1-4 ATS in their last five games against a team with a losing record. The Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games, 1-6 ATS in their last seven games playing on two days’ rest and 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a loss.

Head to head, the over is 5-0 in the last five meetings overall.

The Bucks are at full strength except for Wesley Matthews who is out due to health and safety protocols, while the Rockets have ruled out Jae’Sean Tate once again. The Bucks come into this meeting as the team in better form and they will be full of confidence following their thrilling win over the Mavericks on Friday, but the Rockets have actually started to turn things around before they fell to the slumping Spurs in their last outing. The line is quite hefty, but the Bucks really shouldn’t have too much trouble getting the win and cover in this spot.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Milwaukee -9.5

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Peter Tran

Professional NBA Handicapper at https://sportschatplace.com

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