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Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves 12/26/22 NBA Picks, Predictions, Odds

Minnesota Timberwolves (16-17) vs. Miami Heat (16-17)
December 26, 2022 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -4; Over/Under: +223.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Miami Heat meet Monday in NBA action at the FTX Arena. The Minnesota Timberwolves have lost 5 of their last 8 games. The Miami Heat have won 5 of their last 8 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 114.8 points on 49 percent shooting and allowing 115.7 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 23.2 points and 6 rebounds, while Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 20.8 points and 5.3 assists. D’Angelo Russell is the third double-digit scorer and Rudy Gobert is grabbing 12.3 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 34.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77.8 percent from the free throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 37.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.6 rebounds per game.

The Miami Heat are averaging 108 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 109.2 points on 47.3 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 21.8 points and 6.8 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 21.4 points and 6 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Kyle Lowry is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 82.3 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.8 rebounds per game.

The Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Monday games. The Heat are 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 home games and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Timberwolves last 7 Monday games. The under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 overall. The Timberwolves are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami and 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

I’m not a fan of laying chalk with the Miami Heat when you consider every game they’ve played this season comes down to the wire, and they have a handful of bad losses. It doesn’t help that Butler, Adebayo, and others are questionable. Nothing has come easy for the Heat this season, and they actually lose by an average of 0.6 points at home. Give me the Minnesota Timberwolves and free buckets.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves +4

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA and is more than familiar with what it takes to navigate a 150 game college basketball Saturday and a 162 game MLB schedule. Randy has done it all. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter or catch him on the PickDawgz YouTube channel.

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