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Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans 10/12/22 NBA Picks, Predictions, Odds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat
October 12, 2022 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -4.5 / New Orleans Pelicans +4.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New Orleans Pelicans and Miami Heat meet Wednesday in preseason NBA action at the FTX Arena. The New Orleans Pelicans have won 11 of their last 14 preseason games. The Miami Heat have won 9 of their last 11 preseason games.

The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 129 points on 49.5 percent shooting and allowing 125 points on 48.3 percent shooting. Devonte’ Graham is averaging 21 points and 2 rebounds, while Willy Hernangómez is averaging 15 points and 5 rebounds. Dyson Daniels is the third double-digit scorer and Zion Williamson is grabbing 4 rebounds. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 29.7 percent from beyond the arc and 72.2 percent from the free throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44 rebounds per game.

The Miami Heat are averaging 111 points on 42.9 percent shooting and allowing 121 points on 51.2 percent shooting. Bam Adebayo is averaging 22 points and 6 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 22 points and 6 rebounds. Caleb Martin is the third double-digit scorer and Omer Yurtseven is grabbing 9 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 28.6 percent from beyond the arc and 57.9 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 39.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49 rebounds per game.

The Pelicans are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 Wednesday games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Heat are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 Wednesday games. The over is 4-1 in Pelicans last 5 overall. The under is 8-3 in Heat last 11 home games. The Pelicans are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Miami and 5-17 ATS in the last 22 meetings.

You can make a case for the New Orleans Pelicans here in the underdog role, given how they’ve played through 3 games. However, the Miami Heat are a team we continue to back, and they continue to cash tickets. The Heat play hard regardless if the games count or not. This is also the Heats last preseason game, which means their last effort for a week. Expect to see key players get some run. I’ll lay the reasonable number with the Heat at home.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Heat -4.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA and is more than familiar with what it takes to navigate a 150 game college basketball Saturday and a 162 game MLB schedule. Randy has done it all. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter or catch him on the PickDawgz YouTube channel.

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