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San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat 12/17/22 NBA Picks, Predictions, Odds

Miami Heat (15-15) vs. San Antonio Spurs (9-19)
December 17, 2022 5:00 pm EDT
The Line: San Antonio Spurs +7.5; Over/Under: +221.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat and San Antonio Spurs meet Saturday in NBA action at the Arena Ciudad de Mexico. The Miami Heat have won 4 of their last 5 games. The San Antonio Spurs have split their last 6 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 107.9 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 109.3 points on 47.1 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 21.7 points and 6.7 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 20.8 points and 9.5 rebounds. Tyler Herro is the third double-digit scorer and Kyle Lowry is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 33.7 percent from beyond the arc and 83.2 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.3 rebounds per game.

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 110 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 120.4 points on 50.6 percent shooting. Keldon Johnson is averaging 20.9 points and 5.2 rebounds, while Devin Vassell is averaging 20.4 points and 3.5 assists. Jakob Poeltl is the third double-digit scorer and Tre Jones is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 33.9 percent from beyond the arc and 72.9 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 39.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.5 rebounds per game.

The Heat are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The over is 43-21 in Heat last 64 Saturday games. The under is 6-2 in Spurs last 8 Saturday games. The Heat are 6-13-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings.

I don’t want to back the San Antonio Spurs as much as the next guy, but the Heat still aren’t consistent enough to trust with big numbers. Regardless of opponent, every game the Heat plays comes down to the wire. We could also expect maybe some sluggish offense given the foreign gym and unfamiliar settings overall. In Mexico City, guys do have a history of being a bit off in places they’ve never played. I’ll cover my eyes and grab the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: San Antonio Spurs +7.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA and is more than familiar with what it takes to navigate a 150 game college basketball Saturday and a 162 game MLB schedule. Randy has done it all. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter or catch him on the PickDawgz YouTube channel.

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