Heat vs Knicks Pick – NBA Predictions & Odds 5/8/23

Randy ChambersMay 07, 2023
Heat vs Knicks Pick – NBA Predictions & Odds 5/8/23 player photo
Credit: USA Today Sports

The New York Knicks and Miami Heat meet Monday in Game 4 of the NBA East Semifinals Playoffs at the Kaseya Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The New York Knicks are averaging 99.5 points on 42.6 percent shooting and allowing 98.6 points on 43.7 percent shooting. Jalen Brunson is averaging 24.4 points and 4.6 rebounds, while RJ Barrett is averaging 18.9 points and 4.5 rebounds. Julius Randle is the third double-digit scorer and Josh Hart is grabbing 8.8 rebounds. The New York Knicks are shooting 27.8 percent from beyond the arc and 72.9 percent from the free throw line. The New York Knicks are allowing 31.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.6 rebounds per game.

The Miami Heat are averaging 117.3 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 111.5 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 34.4 points and 6.4 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 16.9 points and 8.9 rebounds. Gabe Vincent is the third double-digit scorer and Caleb Martin is grabbing 5.6 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 39.2 percent from beyond the arc and 77.8 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42 rebounds per game.

The Knicks are 38-17-1 ATS in their last 56 road games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. The Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The under is 7-1 in Knicks last 8 overall. The over is 11-2 in Heat last 13 overall. The Knicks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Pretty much a must win for the New York Knicks if they're going to make this a series, but we've seen nothing through 3 games that makes me believe these teams are on even playing fields. The Knicks can't shoot the ball from the outside, and the Heat simply have more guys who can take over for stretches. Butler also has yet to have to go nuclear in this series. He's taking whatever the Knicks give him for now. The chalk is reasonable. Give me the Heat and the chalk.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:Miami Heat -4.5
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Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA and is more than familiar with what it takes to navigate a 150 game college basketball Saturday and a 162 game MLB schedule. Randy has done it all. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter or catch him on the PickDawgz YouTube channel.