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Pistons vs Heat Pick – NBA Predictions & Odds 3/19/23

Miami Heat (38-33) vs. Detroit Pistons (16-55)
March 19, 2023 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Pistons +9.5; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat and Detroit Pistons meet Sunday in NBA action at the Little Caesars Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Miami Heat are averaging 109.1 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 109.6 points on 47.9 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 22.6 points and 6.1 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 21 points and 9.4 rebounds. Tyler Herro is the third double-digit scorer and Kyle Lowry is grabbing 4.2 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 33.9 percent from beyond the arc and 83.1 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.9 rebounds per game.

The Detroit Pistons are averaging 111.1 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 118.6 points on 49.1 percent shooting. Bojan Bogdanovic is averaging 21.6 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Jaden Ivey is averaging 15.4 points and 4.9 assists. Alec Burks is the third double-digit scorer and Isaiah Stewart is grabbing 8.1 rebounds. The Detroit Pistons are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 76.8 percent from the free throw line. The Detroit Pistons are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.7 rebounds per game.

The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games overall. The Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 overall. The under is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 overall. The Heat are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Detroit and 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

The Miami Heat should be big favorites, but they’re as inconsistent as all hell, and you shouldn’t expect much different here with them on the end of a back to back. The Heat have issues stringing wins together, let alone covering massive numbers, and they’re 3-8 ATS when favorites of 7.5 or more points. Give me the Pistons and the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Detroit Pistons +9.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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