NBA Picks

Pistons vs Nuggets Pick – NBA Predictions & Odds 3/16/23

Denver Nuggets (46-23) vs. Detroit Pistons (16-54)
March 16, 2023 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Pistons +13; Over/Under: +228
(Get latest betting odds)

The Denver Nuggets and Detroit Pistons meet Thursday in NBA action at the Little Caesars Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 116.8 points on 50.8 percent shooting and allowing 113.2 points on 48.1 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 24.7 points and 11.9 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 20 points and 4 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Gordon is grabbing 6.7 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.7 percent from beyond the arc and 75.4 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.

The Detroit Pistons are averaging 111.2 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 118.6 points on 49 percent shooting. Bojan Bogdanovic is averaging 21.6 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Jaden Ivey is averaging 15.4 points and 4.9 assists. Alec Burks is the third double-digit scorer and Isaiah Stewart is grabbing 8.1 rebounds. The Detroit Pistons are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77 percent from the free throw line. The Detroit Pistons are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.8 rebounds per game.

The Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Pistons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 overall. The under is 8-3 in Pistons last 11 overall. The Nuggets are 6-13 ATS in the last 19 meetings in Detroit and 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

The Denver Nuggets have the ability to blow the doors off here, but they haven’t been so hot this week, and they’re on the road, where they lose by an average of 3.8 points. The Detroit Pistons have been a bit more competitive lately, and they lose at home by an average of 5.2 points. This is a lot of chalk. Ten of the Piston’s 30 covers have come as double-digit underdogs. It’s the points or pass for me.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Detroit Pistons +13

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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