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Warriors vs Kings Pick – NBA Predictions & Odds 4/23/23

Sacramento Kings (50-35) vs. Golden State Warriors (45-40)
April 23, 2023 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Golden State Warriors -7.5; Over/Under: 238
(Get latest betting odds)

The Sacramento Kings and Golden State Warriors meet Sunday in Game 4 of the NBA West First Round Playoffs at the Chase Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Sacramento Kings are averaging 112.3 points on 42.9 percent shooting and allowing 114.3 points on 44.9 percent shooting. De’Aaron Fox is averaging 29.3 points and 7.7 assists, while Malik Monk is averaging 18 points and 4 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis is the third double-digit scorer and Harrison Barnes is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 27.4 percent from beyond the arc and 75 percent from the free throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 32.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48 rebounds per game.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 114.3 points on 44.9 percent shooting and allowing 112.3 points on 42.9 percent shooting. Stephen Curry is averaging 31.3 points and 3.7 assists, while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 19.7 points and 1.3 assists. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Jordan Poole is dishing 2.7 assists. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 32.1 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 27.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47 rebounds per game.

The Kings are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Sunday games. The Warriors are 40-16-1 ATS in their last 57 home games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Sunday games. The under is 6-1 in Kings last 7 overall. The under is 9-3-1 in Warriors last 13 home games. The Kings are 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Golden State and 15-6 ATS in the last 21 meetings.

The Golden State Warriors should be favored at home for obvious reasons, and another comfortable win wouldn’t be surprising. The Kings looked their age in game 3, a little big eyed for the moment. Still, the Kings have been covering machines on the road this year where they win by an average of 1.6 points. This is a lot of points to just throw the Warriors way. I’ll take a stab with the free buckets and the Kings.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Sacramento Kings +7.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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