Cavaliers vs Mavericks Prediction
The Cavs should have the edge at home, but they’re on the end of a back-to-back and didn’t look great against the Heat. We’ve also made a killing fading the Cavs dating back to last season. The Cavaliers couldn’t cover numbers last season, and they’re currently 4-9 ATS this season. The Mavs are quietly playing good ball right now, and they’re a profitable 7-5 ATS.
With the rest advantage, it’s hard to turn down the Mavs and the free buckets. I’d also watch the Mobley injury news, as if he can’t go again this size with Dallas, it’s a huge advantage. Either way, I’m not excited to back the Cavs who don’t cash tickets. It’s Mavericks or pass on Saturday night.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks beat the Pacers, lost to the Timberwolves, and they play the Celtics next. The Mavs have won 6 of their last 8 games. The Mavs are 2-3 SU on the road, 5-2 SU at home, and 7-5 ATS this season.
The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.3 points per game on 46.8 percent shooting and allowing 112.3 points per game on 46.4 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 24.6 points and 6.5 assists per game. Kyrie Irving is averaging 21.6 points and 3.2 rebounds per game. P.J. Washington is averaging 14.3 points and 7.2 rebounds per game. Naji Marshall is averaging 11.3 points and 4.4 assists per game. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 33.6 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 32.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.
Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview
The Cleveland Cavaliers lost to the Heat, beat the Knicks, and they play the Bulls next. The Cavs have lost 5 of their last 7 games. The Cavs are 2-5 SU on the road, 4-2 SU at home, and 4-9 ATS on the season.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 116.5 points per game on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 114.3 points per game on 44.6 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 22.8 points and 5.5 assists per game. Evan Mobley is averaging 16.9 points and 3.6 assists per game. James Harden is averaging 16.7 points and 5.6 assists per game. Meleek Thomas is averaging 13.1 points and 2.8 rebounds per game. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.7 rebounds per game.
Cavaliers vs Mavericks Injury Report
The Cavs will be without Sam Merrill with an elbow injury. Nae’Qwan Tomlin is out with a back injury. Evan Mobley is out with a toe injury.
Tarik Biberovic is out for the Mavs with a heel injury. Sergio De Larrea is out with a knee injury. Dereck Lively is out with a foot injury. Caleb Martin is available despite a thumb issue. Morez Johnson Jr. is probable despite a shin issue.
Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last nine games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Cavaliers have won each of their last six night games against the Mavericks.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven road games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Cavaliers have covered the spread in four of their last five games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Mavericks have won four of their last five games as underdogs against Central Division opponents following a loss.
- The Cavaliers have lost three of their last five games as favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in 12 of their last 13 games on the first leg of a back-to-back against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as home favorites.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Cavaliers’ last six games as favorites following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Mavericks’ last six night games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
Cleveland Cavaliers Player Facts
- James Harden has recorded 13 games with 3+ assists this season – equal to the most of any player in the league.
- Donovan Mitchell has recorded 13 games with 3+ assists this season – equal to the most of any player in the league.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Cooper Flagg ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.2) this season.
- Daniel Gafford ranks 4th amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (3.1) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cavaliers have suffered the largest comeback loss from a HT lead this season – led by 24 points @ 76ers on October 22.
- The Cavaliers have allowed the most games with 40+ points (3) this season.
- Eight different Mavericks players have scored 20+ points in a game this season- the most in the league.
- The Mavericks are one of three teams to rank in the top-10 for both steals and blocks per game this season.