Cavaliers vs Thunder Prediction
As I’ve said before, the Thunder and points are always attractive because you don’t get these spots often. However, OKC is without Holmgren, Caruso, and Williams. As good as SGA and others are, there’s only so much a team can overcome. Back-to-back losses to the Rockets and Mavs where OKC scored less than 100 points is a sign the Thunder are going through it right now with injuries.
The Cavs haven’t made us money dating back to last season, and they’re 2-4 ATS this season. Still, health and home court make the Cavaliers the play on Monday night. I just can’t get there with the Thunder and their banged-up bodies. I’ll lay the reasonable chalk.
Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder lost to the Mavs and Rockets, and they play the Cavs next. The Thunder have won 23 of their last 28 regular season games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 108.2 points on 44 percent shooting and allowing 104.6 points on 42.6 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 26 points and 3.4 assists, while Ajay Mitchell is averaging 18.6 points and 3.4 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Jared McCain is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 30.9 percent from beyond the arc and 86.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46 rebounds per game.
Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview
The Cleveland Cavaliers beat the Bucks, lost to the Hawks, and they play the Thunder next. The Cavs have won 15 of their last 20 regular-season games.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 118 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 117 points on 46 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 24.2 points and 4.8 assists, while Evan Mobley is averaging 18.2 points and 3.6 assists. James Harden is the third double-digit scorer, and Jarrett Allen is grabbing 8.8 rebounds. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 78.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.6 rebounds per game.
Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win
- The Cavaliers have won 10 of their last 11 night games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Thunder have lost four of their last five road games.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six night games against Central Division opponents.
- The home team has covered the spread in four of the Thunder’s last five games.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 11 Monday road games.
- The Cavaliers have lost three of their last six games as favorites following a win.
- The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last five games between the Thunder and Cavaliers have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Thunder’s last five road games has gone UNDER the total points line.
Cleveland Cavaliers Player Facts
- Sam Merrill has recorded four games with 2+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.
- Donovan Mitchell has recorded 139 career rebounds against the Thunder – equal-most against any opponent.
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Isaiah Hartenstein ranks T1st amongst qualified players for FT% (100.0%) this season.
- Aday Mara ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (3.7) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cavaliers have suffered the largest comeback loss from a HT lead this season – led by 24 points @ 76ers on October 22.
- Three different Cavaliers players have scored 25+ points in a game this season – the most in the league.
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for free-throw percentage this season (87.3%).
- The Thunder rank 29th in the league for assists per game this season (21.7).