Nuggets vs Warriors Prediction 10/26/26 NBA Picks Today

The Golden State Warriors are getting desperate for some success as they are now on a three-game slide after getting scorched by the Suns in a 131-122 road defeat on Saturday. Yaxel Lendeborg led the team with 26 points, nine rebounds and five assists on nine-of-19 shooting; De’Anthony Melton added 25 points with five assists on eight-of-13 shooting off the bench, while Brandon Williams scored 20 points on five-of-10 shooting.

As a team, the Warriors shot 45 percent from the field and 17 of 39 from the 3-point line as they did a decent job of keeping pace with the Suns, but they let themselves down in the third quarter, where they leaked 45 points to fall behind by 16 points.

Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets needed a response after getting routed by the Thunder in their season opener, and they did just that as they outlasted the Pelicans in a gritty 141-135 overtime win on Saturday. Jamal Murray led the team with 42 points and six assists on 12-of-25 shooting, Nikola Jokic tallied a triple-double of 35 points with 15 rebounds and 10 assists, while Trevon Brazile provided the spark off the bench with 17 points, nine rebounds, and two blocks.

As a team, the Nuggets shot 48 percent from the field and 15 of 47 from the 3-point line as they struggled for most of the contest and trailed in this one by as many as 23 points, before they flipped a switch and dominated from the fourth quarter and overtime by a combined 52-27 to secure the win in front of their home fans.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Nuggets have won each of their last nine home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Warriors have lost each of their last eight games at Ball Arena.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of the last five games between the Warriors and Nuggets.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games against Northwest Division opponents.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Nuggets have lost each of their last two games as favorites following a win.
• The Warriors have won five of their last eight games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in 16 of their last 21 games as underdogs against the Nuggets.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Nuggets’ last six night games at Ball Arena have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the Warriors’ last six games at Ball Arena have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (97.0).
• The Nuggets have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q3 deficit this season – trailing by 19 points vs. the Pelicans on October 24.
• The Warriors rank 1st in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (17.3).
• The Warriors rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (53.8%).

The Warriors are still missing Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, and Kristaps Porzingis, but the good news is that they expect to have Draymond Green and Stephen Curry back, while the Nuggets have ruled out Spencer Jones, Alpha Diallo, and Cameron Johnson. The Warriors were always going to do it tough in their last outing as they decided to rest Stephen Curry, but the role players actually performed decently, especially Lendeborg, who led the way with 26 points.

The Nuggets were good enough to get a much-needed overtime win on Saturday, but perhaps the extra reps will do them good to knock off the rust we saw from opening night. The Nuggets have expectedly opened as moderate favorites at home, and I think they can build on their last win with an easier one here.