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Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prop Bet Guide for Game 3

Miami Heat (58-46) vs Denver Nuggets (66-33)
2023-06-07 20:30:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Heat +2.5 -- Over/Under: 214.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The NBA Finals moves to Florida after Miami’s Game 2 win to tie the series at 1-1. The series will last longer than many expected. The Heat learned a lot from Game 1 and made adjustments, but can they take the lead in this Game 3 matchup? Have a look at the best Nuggets/Heat prop bets!

Jimmy Butler Prop Bet: Over 25.5 points

Butler showed an improved game, scoring 21 points, eight more than in Game 1. Still, that wasn’t enough for the Over bet, and I don’t think Playoff Jimmy will let us down for the third consecutive time. When it comes to field goal percentage, Butler did have the third-worst performance of the playoffs in Miami’s Game 2 victory. He finished with 36.8% from the floor, and I am backing him to bounce back on Wednesday.

In combination with free throws, 19 attempts were usually enough for Butler to score 26+ points. However, that wasn’t the case the last time out, as he missed a bunch of mid-range shots, which is highly unusual for Jimmy. One of the best players in the NBA in creating space for open looks. Butler will now have a chance to go over 25.5 points at home. So far in the playoffs when playing in Miami, Butler went 26+ in five of eight games. After combining for 34 points thus far in the series, I like Butler to score 26 even more here.

My Prop bet Pick: Butler over 25.5 points

Pick Fanduel DraftKings BetMGM BetRivers Bet365 Unibet
Butler o25.5 Pts -111 -105 -109 -105 -110 -109

Michael Porter Jr. Prop Bet: Over 7.5 rebounds

Michael Porter Jr. displayed his worst performance of the playoffs in Game 2. He scored just five points on 2-of-8 shooting and didn’t even finish the game on the floor, although he started. Bruce Brown took his place, and the Nuggets looked better with Brown on. I do back Porter to bounce back here and improve his FG%. However, I am not interested in the points prop, considering his numbers significantly dropped from the regular season, despite spending more time on the floor on average.

But MPJ is a strong rebounder who recorded 10+ boards in three straight games before his Game 2 dud. He even had a playoff-high 13 rebounds in Game 1, and I expect him to return to his usual 33+ minutes. Porter is unreliable in scoring, but you can bet your money on him to get at least eight rebounds.

My Prop bet Pick: Porter Jr. over 7.5 rebounds

Pick Fanduel DraftKings BetMGM BetRivers Bet365 Unibet
Porter Jr. o7.5 Reb -111 +100 +105 -113 +105 -112

Nikola Jokic Prop Bet: Over 0.5 blocks

Jokic dismantled Miami’s interior in Game 2 and scored 41 points, but the Heat’s strategy was to allow him shots and focus more on his teammates, which was successful. However, on defense, Jokic was pretty non-existent. The Joker failed to get a steal or block for the third time in 17 postseason games and for the first time in 11 games.

Jokic rejected four shots in the previous three games, and I am backing him to get a minimum of one rejection on Wednesday. Jimmy Butler likes to drive the basket for layups, and the big man can be a mountain to climb sometimes in the paint, although he is not a great defender. His latest block came on Butler in Game 1. I believe the two-time MVP will make some crucial stops in Game 3, as he is aware his team must play stronger defense. Jokic knows how to serve as an example to his teammates. With around 40 minutes on the floor, it would be surprising if Jokic fails to get one block, so Over 0.5 blocks is one of the best Nuggets/Heat prop bets on the board.

My Prop bet Pick: Jokic over 0.5 blocks

Pick Fanduel DraftKings BetMGM BetRivers Bet365 Unibet
Jokic o0.5 Blk -150 -140 -143 -159 -135 -159

Bam Adebayo Prop Bet: Adebayo to Record a Double-Double

I am pleasantly surprised how Adebayo played in this series so far after struggling for a big part of the ECF against the Boston Celtics. Following his best offensive display of the playoffs in Game 1, even though it took 25 attempts from the floor, Adebayo took only 14 shots in Game 2 and still ended with 20+ points (21). The fact is that Denver is not defending the center position very well, and so far, Bam exploited that.

He was one rebound short of recording a double-double after managing to do so in three straight games prior to Game 2. Adebayo is Miami’s best scorer, with 9.4 boards per contest in the postseason. The big guy is in solid form right now, and even if he doesn’t score 20+ in Miami, a double-double should be in his pocket. Back Adebayo because this is likely the best Nuggets/Heat Game 3 prop bet, especially at plus money!

My Prop bet Pick: Adebayo to Record a Double-Double

Pick Fanduel DraftKings BetMGM BetRivers Bet365 Unibet
Adebayo Double-Double +100 +100 +100 +105 +100 +105

Gabe Vincent Prop Bet: Vincent Over 2.5 threes made

Pick Fanduel DraftKings BetMGM BetRivers Bet365 Unibet
Vincent o2.5 3s made +106 +100 +100 -103 -105 -102

Vincent emerged as the Heat’s third option on offense in the absence of Tyler Herro. Herro could be back soon, so the time to cash in on Vincent is now. Gabe scored team-high 23 points in a Game 2 win – his second-best performance of the playoffs.

The Heat have been excellent from downtown this postseason, and Vincent’s success from the perimeter is the main reason for that. He made four triples in the previous game and already has nine in two meetings with Denver. Vincent hit 3+ three-pointers in three of the last four games. He has been red-hot right now, and even if Herro returns for Game 3, I like Vincent from deep on Wednesday… especially at +106 at Fanduel.  My Prop: Vincent Over 2.5 threes made

's Free Pick: Adebayo to Record a Double-Double

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Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prop Bet Guide for Game 3

Miami Heat (58-46) vs Denver Nuggets (66-33)
2023-06-07 20:30:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Heat +2.5 -- Over/Under: 214.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The NBA Finals moves to Florida after Miami’s Game 2 win to tie the series at 1-1. The series will last longer than many expected. The Heat learned a lot from Game 1 and made adjustments, but can they take the lead in this Game 3 matchup? Have a look at the best Nuggets/Heat prop bets!

Jimmy Butler Prop Bet: Over 25.5 points

Butler showed an improved game, scoring 21 points, eight more than in Game 1. Still, that wasn’t enough for the Over bet, and I don’t think Playoff Jimmy will let us down for the third consecutive time. When it comes to field goal percentage, Butler did have the third-worst performance of the playoffs in Miami’s Game 2 victory. He finished with 36.8% from the floor, and I am backing him to bounce back on Wednesday.

In combination with free throws, 19 attempts were usually enough for Butler to score 26+ points. However, that wasn’t the case the last time out, as he missed a bunch of mid-range shots, which is highly unusual for Jimmy. One of the best players in the NBA in creating space for open looks. Butler will now have a chance to go over 25.5 points at home. So far in the playoffs when playing in Miami, Butler went 26+ in five of eight games. After combining for 34 points thus far in the series, I like Butler to score 26 even more here.

My Prop bet Pick: Butler over 25.5 points

Pick Fanduel DraftKings BetMGM BetRivers Bet365 Unibet
Butler o25.5 Pts -111 -105 -109 -105 -110 -109

Michael Porter Jr. Prop Bet: Over 7.5 rebounds

Michael Porter Jr. displayed his worst performance of the playoffs in Game 2. He scored just five points on 2-of-8 shooting and didn’t even finish the game on the floor, although he started. Bruce Brown took his place, and the Nuggets looked better with Brown on. I do back Porter to bounce back here and improve his FG%. However, I am not interested in the points prop, considering his numbers significantly dropped from the regular season, despite spending more time on the floor on average.

But MPJ is a strong rebounder who recorded 10+ boards in three straight games before his Game 2 dud. He even had a playoff-high 13 rebounds in Game 1, and I expect him to return to his usual 33+ minutes. Porter is unreliable in scoring, but you can bet your money on him to get at least eight rebounds.

My Prop bet Pick: Porter Jr. over 7.5 rebounds

Pick Fanduel DraftKings BetMGM BetRivers Bet365 Unibet
Porter Jr. o7.5 Reb -111 +100 +105 -113 +105 -112

Nikola Jokic Prop Bet: Over 0.5 blocks

Jokic dismantled Miami’s interior in Game 2 and scored 41 points, but the Heat’s strategy was to allow him shots and focus more on his teammates, which was successful. However, on defense, Jokic was pretty non-existent. The Joker failed to get a steal or block for the third time in 17 postseason games and for the first time in 11 games.

Jokic rejected four shots in the previous three games, and I am backing him to get a minimum of one rejection on Wednesday. Jimmy Butler likes to drive the basket for layups, and the big man can be a mountain to climb sometimes in the paint, although he is not a great defender. His latest block came on Butler in Game 1. I believe the two-time MVP will make some crucial stops in Game 3, as he is aware his team must play stronger defense. Jokic knows how to serve as an example to his teammates. With around 40 minutes on the floor, it would be surprising if Jokic fails to get one block, so Over 0.5 blocks is one of the best Nuggets/Heat prop bets on the board.

My Prop bet Pick: Jokic over 0.5 blocks

Pick Fanduel DraftKings BetMGM BetRivers Bet365 Unibet
Jokic o0.5 Blk -150 -140 -143 -159 -135 -159

Bam Adebayo Prop Bet: Adebayo to Record a Double-Double

I am pleasantly surprised how Adebayo played in this series so far after struggling for a big part of the ECF against the Boston Celtics. Following his best offensive display of the playoffs in Game 1, even though it took 25 attempts from the floor, Adebayo took only 14 shots in Game 2 and still ended with 20+ points (21). The fact is that Denver is not defending the center position very well, and so far, Bam exploited that.

He was one rebound short of recording a double-double after managing to do so in three straight games prior to Game 2. Adebayo is Miami’s best scorer, with 9.4 boards per contest in the postseason. The big guy is in solid form right now, and even if he doesn’t score 20+ in Miami, a double-double should be in his pocket. Back Adebayo because this is likely the best Nuggets/Heat Game 3 prop bet, especially at plus money!

My Prop bet Pick: Adebayo to Record a Double-Double

Pick Fanduel DraftKings BetMGM BetRivers Bet365 Unibet
Adebayo Double-Double +100 +100 +100 +105 +100 +105

Gabe Vincent Prop Bet: Vincent Over 2.5 threes made

Pick Fanduel DraftKings BetMGM BetRivers Bet365 Unibet
Vincent o2.5 3s made +106 +100 +100 -103 -105 -102

Vincent emerged as the Heat’s third option on offense in the absence of Tyler Herro. Herro could be back soon, so the time to cash in on Vincent is now. Gabe scored team-high 23 points in a Game 2 win – his second-best performance of the playoffs.

The Heat have been excellent from downtown this postseason, and Vincent’s success from the perimeter is the main reason for that. He made four triples in the previous game and already has nine in two meetings with Denver. Vincent hit 3+ three-pointers in three of the last four games. He has been red-hot right now, and even if Herro returns for Game 3, I like Vincent from deep on Wednesday… especially at +106 at Fanduel.  My Prop: Vincent Over 2.5 threes made

's Free Pick: Adebayo to Record a Double-Double

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