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Heat vs Knicks Pick – NBA Predictions & Odds 5/12/23

New York Knicks (53-39) vs. Miami Heat (52-42)
May 12, 2023 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -5.5; Over/Under: 208.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Knicks and Miami Heat meet Friday in Game 6 of the NBA East Semifinals Playoffs at the Kaseya Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The New York Knicks are averaging 100.9 points on 43.8 percent shooting and allowing 100.1 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Jalen Brunson is averaging 26.5 points and 5 rebounds, while RJ Barrett is averaging 20.1 points and 4.7 rebounds. Julius Randle is the third double-digit scorer and Josh Hart is grabbing 7.4 rebounds. The New York Knicks are shooting 29.2 percent from beyond the arc and 73 percent from the free throw line. The New York Knicks are allowing 31.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.8 rebounds per game.

The Miami Heat are averaging 115 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 110.5 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 31.9 points and 6.4 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 17.6 points and 9.2 rebounds. Gabe Vincent is the third double-digit scorer and Caleb Martin is grabbing 5.3 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc and 77.8 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.4 rebounds per game.

The Knicks are 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Heat are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The under is 7-3 in Knicks last 10 overall. The over is 20-7 in Heat last 27 overall. The Knicks are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Miami and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

The New York Knicks have been covering machines on the road all year, and I guess there’s value with the points knowing that trend. However, the Heat has still been comfortably the better team this series and even both of their losses came down to the wire. The first two meetings this series in Miami were comfortable victories for the Heat. I’m just not impressed with the Knicks and their sluggish offense. I’ll lay the chalk with the home team.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Heat -5.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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