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Knicks vs Heat Prediction 11/14/25 NBA Picks Today

Miami Heat (7-5) vs. NY Knicks (7-4)
November 14, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: NY Knicks -5.5; Over/Under: 236.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat and NY Knicks meet Friday in NBA action at Madison Square Garden. Here’s a Knicks vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a Knicks vs Heat Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat split with the Cavs, beat the Trail Blazers, and they play the Knicks next. The Heat have won 15 their last 24 regular season games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 125.6 points on 49.8 percent shooting and allowing 119.9 points on 43.6 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 23.3 points and 4.6 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 19.9 points and 2.9 assists. Andrew Wiggins is the third double-digit scorer, and Jaime Jaquez Jr. is grabbing 7 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc and 80.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 32.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.5 rebounds per game.

NY Knicks Betting Preview

The NY Knicks beat the Grizzlies, lost to the Magic, and they play the Heat next. The Knicks have won 5 of their last 6 games.

The NY Knicks are averaging 121.8 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 112.7 points on 47.8 percent shooting. Jalen Brunson is averaging 27.2 points and 3.4 rebounds, while Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 20.7 points and 3.1 assists. OG Anunoby is the third double-digit scorer, and Mikal Bridges is dishing 5.2 assists. The NY Knicks are shooting 38.5 percent from beyond the arc and 84.4 percent from the free-throw line. The NY Knicks are allowing 39.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.3 rebounds per game.

Why the New York Knicks will win

  • The home team has won 13 of the Knicks’ last 14 games.
  • The Heat have lost each of their last six night games at Madison Square Garden.
  • The home team has covered the spread in 13 of the Knicks’ last 14 games.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents following a loss.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the Heat’s last three games.
  • The Knicks have lost three of their last four games as favorites after losing as favorites.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last four road games after losing as favorites.
  • The Knicks have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as favorites after losing as favorites.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Knicks’ last eight games have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Heat’s last four road games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Knicks vs Heat Injury Report

Jalen Brunson is out for the Knicks with an ankle injury.

The Heat will be without Tyler Herro, Terry Rozier, and Bam Adebayo.

Knicks vs Heat Prediction

The Knicks should get the benefit of the doubt at home, where they’ve won 7 of their 8 games. However, the Knicks are down their best player in Brunson, which throws a monkey wrench into things. Also, as I’ve said before, the Heat have value in the underdog role as long as they keep playing at this pace and putting together a top-10 offense.

The Heat will also be eager to get a nasty taste out of their mouth after losing to the Cavs backups on Wednesday. I’m going to keep backing the Heat in the underdog role, especially when opponents don’t have their best player.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Heat +5.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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