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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics 5/25/22 NBA Picks, Predictions, Odds

Boston Celtics (61-36) vs. Miami Heat (63-34)
May 25, 2022 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat +1.5; Over/Under: 203.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston Celtics and Miami Heat meet Wednesday in game 5 of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals at the FTX Arena. The Boston Celtics look for back-to-back wins to go up 3-2 in the series. The Miami Heat look for a bounce back showing to take a 3-2 series lead. 

The Boston Celtics are averaging 108.8 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 102.1 points on 44 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 27.2 points and 5.9 rebounds, while Jaylen Brown is averaging 22.9 points and 3.4 assists. Marcus Smart is the third double-digit scorer and Al Horford is grabbing 9.5 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 80.8 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 33.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.7 rebounds per game.


The Miami Heat are averaging 105.9 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 100.7 points on 44.7 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 26.5 points and 7.2 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 14.5 points and 7.6 rebounds. Tyler Herro is the third double-digit scorer and Victor Oladipo is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 32.6 percent from beyond the arc and 79.7 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.6 rebounds per game.

The Celtics are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games and 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games overall. The Heat are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games and 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games overall. The over is 10-4 in Celtics last 14 road games. The over is 21-8 in Heat last 29 Conference Finals games. The over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in Miami.

Offensive performances have been ugly at times in this series, especially in game 4, but even with that low total, this series is averaging 212.5 points per game. The over has hit in 10 of the last 14 meetings between the Heat and Celtics. The over has hit in 10 of the Celtics last 14 road games. The Heat are averaging 111.5 points at home these playoffs while shooting 48.3 percent from the field, which are much greater numbers than their playoff averages overall. Low total. Give me the over.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Over 203.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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