NBA Prop Bets: Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors Game 5 5/26/22

The Dallas Mavericks face the Golden State Warriors in Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals at Chase Center. Let’s take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Thursday’s matchup. The Warriors opened as 6.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 7.0, leaving the Warriors at -315 and Mavericks at +245. The total points line is set at 215.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 111-104 Golden State.

• The Mavericks (-110) have a 56-41-2 ATS record this season including playoffs, while the Warriors (-110) hold a record of 49-44-4.
• The Mavericks have a 38-60-1 O/U record this season including playoffs (meaning 38 games have gone over the total points line, 60 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Warriors have a 44-51-2 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• Dallas has averaged 106.1 points throughout this season’s playoffs, while giving up 104.8. Comparatively, Golden State has scored 114.1 per game and allowed 109.0. Looking at their best and worst postseason offensive performances, the Mavericks’ playoff-high is 126 while their playoff-low is 80. Meanwhile, the Warriors’ high is 142 and low is 95.

Game Style

• What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing during the postseason?

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits during the playoffs, 51.3% of the Mavericks’ field goal attempts have come from three point range, leaving 48.7% from two. Meanwhile, the Warriors’ opponents have taken 44.3% of their attempts from three and 55.7% from two.
• Comparatively, Golden State has taken 41.6% of shots from three, leaving 58.4% from two, while Dallas’ opponents have attempted 35.2% from three and 64.8% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Mavericks have shot 37.9% from deep throughout the postseason, compared to the Warriors who are making 37.8% of their attempts.
• On the opposite end, Dallas has held opponents to 35.0% of their three-point attempts, while Golden State’s opponents have hit 36.2% of their shots.

Ball Protection

• The Mavericks are committing 9.5 turnovers per game in these playoffs, while the Warriors have forced 12.1 turnovers across the postseason.
• Flipping that script, Dallas is forcing 13.0 turnovers, while Golden State is committing 14.3.

Crashing the Boards

• Dallas is pulling down 36.6 rebounds per game during the playoffs, including 6.5 offensive boards. Conversely, Golden State’s opponents are averaging 41.6 rebounds, 10.3 of which have come on the offensive end.
• Meanwhile, the Warriors have averaged 44.3 rebounds and 9.5 offensive rebounds, while the Mavericks are allowing 44.7 and 9.9.

First Quarter Winner

Dallas is +150 to win the first quarter, while Golden State is -169. Here are their first quarter records in this season’s playoffs.

• Total Home Road Favorite Underdog
• Dallas 10-6-1 6-1-1 4-5-0 3-2-0 7-4-1
• Golden State 5-10-0 3-5-0 2-5-0 4-9-0 1-1-0

First Half Winner

Dallas is +185 to win the first half and Golden State is -230. Here are their first half records in this season’s playoffs.

• Total Home Road Favorite Underdog
• Dallas 9-8-0 5-3-0 4-5-0 3-2-0 6-6-0
• Golden State 7-7-1 5-2-1 2-5-0 6-6-1 1-1-0

HT/FT

• The Mavericks have completed the HT/FT double in 41.4% of games since the beginning of the regular season, while the Warriors have completed the HT/FT double in 44.3% of games. During the playoffs, Dallas has completed the HT/FT double in seven of 17 games, while Golden State has completed the HT/FT double in seven of 15 contests.

To Go To Overtime

Thursday’s matchup is +1300 to go to overtime.

• The Mavericks have played in three games that went to overtime since the beginning of the regular season, while the Warriors have appeared in two. Both Dallas and Warriors are yet to play in game that went to overtime during this season’s playoffs.

Last Time They Met

The Mavericks recorded a 119-109 victory over the Warriors at American Airlines Center on Tuesday. Despite that result, the Warriors still lead the series 3-1. Luka Doncic came up big on that day, scoring 30 points and adding 14 rebounds.