Pacers vs Bucks Prediction 3/11/25 NBA Picks Today

The Milwaukee Bucks and the Indiana Pacers do battle at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Tuesday night. Here’s a Pacers vs Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Pacers vs Bucks Pick.

The Milwaukee Bucks have cooled off a bit recently as they are now hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after getting beaten by the Cavaliers in a 112-100 home defeat on Sunday. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with 30 points on 13 of 24 shooting, Damian Lillard added 22 points while Kyle Kuzma chipped in with 14 points. As a team, the Bucks shot just 42 percent from the field and nine of 31 from the 3-point line as they struggled against the defense of the Cavaliers. They trailed by as many as 19 points before they finished with a flurry in garbage time to keep the final margin respectable. No bench player scored more than 10 points and Gary Trent Jr had a rough game as he shot just one of nine from the field to finish with just five points.

Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers are in need of a win to get their season back on track as they are currently riding a three-game losing streak after getting trampled by the Bulls in a 121-103 road defeat last night. Myles Turner led the team with 15 points, Pascal Siakam added 13 points while Ben Sheppard chipped in with 12 points but no other player scored more than 10 points. As a team, the Pacers shot just 39 percent from the field and 10 of 40 from the 3-point line, but they were always fighting an uphill battle after allowing the Bulls to pour in 40 points in the second quarter. The Pacers were always going to find it tricky without Tyrese Haliburton in the lineup, but to be down by as many as 24 points against a struggling Bulls squad really doesn’t look good.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

• The home team has won each of the Pacers’ last seven games.
• The Bucks have lost each of their last seven road games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of the Pacers’ last seven games.
• The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites against Central Division opponents following a loss.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

• The favorites have won 16 of the Pacers’ last 17 games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
• The Pacers have lost each of their last six Tuesday games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The favorites have covered the spread in 15 of the Pacers’ last 17 games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pacers rank 30th for second-chance points (684) this season.
• The Pacers rank 30th for second-chance points per game (10.9) this season.
• The Bucks rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.5).
• The Bucks rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (4.0).

The Bucks have ruled out Chris Livingston again and they have Pat Connaughton upgraded to questionable, while the Pacers are still playing without Isaiah Jackson and Tyrese Haliburton. The Bucks are in need of a win after dropping their last two games. They will be licking their lips at the chance to take on the Pacers who looked terrible in last night’s loss to the Bulls without Haliburton steering the ship. The Pacers still have plenty of firepower with Siakam and Turner in the lineup, but I don’t think they’re going to be able to make the adjustments overnight to hold off a healthy Bucks squad. The line is short for this one, so I will stick with the Bucks to bounce back and get the win, and cover on the road against this shorthanded Pacers squad.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Milwaukee -3.5

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