Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat 10/29/22 NBA Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Miami Heat and Sacramento Kings meet Saturday in NBA action at the Golden 1 Center. The Miami Heat look to rebound from a 2-4 start. The Sacramento Kings are still looking for their first win of the year.

The Miami Heat are averaging 107.2 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 109.2 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 22.7 points and 6.3 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 17.5 points and 7.2 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Max Strus is grabbing 5.5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 84.8 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 38.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.5 rebounds per game.

The Sacramento Kings are averaging 113 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 120.3 points on 50 percent shooting. De’Aaron Fox is averaging 30.5 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Keegan Murray is averaging 17.7 points and 5 rebounds. Kevin Huerter is the third double-digit scorer and Domantas Sabonis is grabbing 9.8 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 71.7 percent from the free throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 41.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.8 rebounds per game.

The Heat are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 road games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Kings are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The over is 26-12 in Heat last 38 Saturday games. The under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 overall. The Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Sacramento and 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

This line is rather surprising as the Sacramento Kings look lie the Sacramento Kings, a team that can’t win or play a lick of defense, and they have yet to win a game this season. The Miami Heat have underachieved through 6 games, but they’re coming off an encouraging performance against the Warriors, where they played them tough. There’s no reason for the Kings to be getting this much respect from oddsmakers in this spot. This line is soft. I like the Heat to build on their last effort and get a win / cover of the small chalk.

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