Spurs vs Kings Prediction 10/27/26 NBA Picks Today

The Sacramento Kings have yet to taste victory after three games, and they will be hoping for a better effort after getting mauled by the Grizzlies in a 123-112 home defeat on Sunday. Zach LaVine led the team with 37 points and five assists on 13 of 25 shooting, Darius Acuff Jr. scored 22 points with seven assists, while Domantas Sabonis tallied 15 points with 15 rebounds on six of eight shooting.

As a team, the Kings shot 47 percent from the field and 10 of 33 from the 3-point line, but their problems on the defensive end cost them again as they were always fighting an uphill battle after leaking 42 points in the second quarter.

Meanwhile, the San Antonio Spurs really needed to find a win after dropping their first two games of the season, and they were able to do just that, running past the shorthanded Mavericks by 122-106 on Saturday. Victor Wembanyama led the team with 23 points, seven rebounds and four blocks on nine of 18 shooting; Dylan Harper added 22 points, while De’Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle each scored 19 points.

As a team, the Spurs shot 48 percent from the field and 15 of 42 from the 3-point line as they squandered an early 12-point lead and looked to be in a real contest heading into the fourth quarter, before they went on a ferocious 27-5 run to turn a one-point lead into a 23-point lead.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

• The Spurs have won each of their last 12 games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Kings have lost 14 of their last 15 road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Kings have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 12 road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The favorites have covered the spread in four of the last five games between the Kings and Spurs.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

• The Spurs have lost each of their last four games as home favorites.
• The road team has won eight of the Spurs’ last nine games.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the Spurs’ last nine games.
• The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as home favorites when playing with a rest advantage.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Spurs’ last six games at Frost Bank Center have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Kings’ last four road games against Southwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

San Antonio Spurs Player Facts

• Victor Wembanyama ranks 1st amongst qualified players for blocks per game (4.0) this season.
• Dylan Harper ranks T3rd amongst qualified players for fast break points per game (6.0) this season.

Sacramento Kings Player Facts

• Domantas Sabonis ranks 1st amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (17.3) this season.
• De’Andre Hunter has a career average of 6.2 rebounds per game against the Spurs- the most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Spurs rank T1st in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (8.7).
• The Spurs rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (41.7%).
• The Kings rank 30th in the league for assists per game this season (21.0).
• The Kings rank 30th in the league for blocks per game this season (2.3).

The Kings are still missing Ben Simmons, Keegan Murray, Maxime Raynaud, and Dylan Cardwell, while the Spurs have ruled out Tobias Harris once again. The Kings could really do with a win just for their own confidence, but they’ve yet to win a game, and they weren’t able to keep pace with the Grizzlies in their last game despite 37 points from LaVine.

The Spurs were always going to open as heavy favorites at home, but this line just seems a couple of points too high. The Spurs may very well win this one by 30 points, but they were far from convincing in their last outing, and I think the Kings can hang around long enough to get a backdoor cover here.