NBA Picks

Warriors vs Kings Pick – NBA Predictions & Odds 4/20/23

Sacramento Kings (50-34) vs. Golden State Warriors (44-40)
April 20, 2023 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Golden State Warriors -5.5; Over/Under: 229
(Get latest betting odds)

The Sacramento Kings and Golden State Warriors meet Thursday in Game 3 of the NBA West First Round Playoffs at the Chase Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Sacramento Kings are averaging 120 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 114.5 points on 47.7 percent shooting. De’Aaron Fox is averaging 31 points and 7 assists, while Malik Monk is averaging 25 points and 4.5 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis is the third double-digit scorer and Harrison Barnes is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 30 percent from beyond the arc and 77 percent from the free throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 32.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.5 rebounds per game.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 114.5 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 120 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Stephen Curry is averaging 29 points and 4 assists, while Klay Thompson is averaging 21 points and 4 assists. Andrew Wiggins is the third double-digit scorer and Gary Payton II is dishing 1 assist. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 32.2 percent from beyond the arc and 80 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 30 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41 rebounds per game.

The Kings are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 road games and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 2 days rest. The Warriors are 39-16-1 ATS in their last 56 home games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games. The under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 overall. The under is 8-3-1 in Warriors last 12 home games. The Kings are 11-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Golden State and 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings.

The Golden State Warriors are an experienced team that’s had their backs against the wall before, and they should give a better effort defensively at home. I fully expect the Warriors to win this game. However, the Kings have outplayed the Warriors twice and their youth, speed, and athleticism is giving them fits. Also, no Draymond, the Warriors’ energy spark and best defensive player, that’s kind of a big deal. The value is with the Kings and the free points, a team that’s also been a covering machine on the road this season.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Sacramento Kings +5.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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