Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants Free Pick 9/8/13
New York Giants (0-0) at Dallas Cowboys (0-0)
NFL Football: Sunday, September 8, 2013 at 8:30 pm (Cowboys Stadium)
The Line: Dallas Cowboys -3 -- Over/Under: 49 See the Latest Odds
The New York Giants head to Dallas on Sunday to face-off against their hated rival the Dallas Cowboys in primetime.
The Dallas Cowboys are coming off back to back 8-8 seasons, but if you listen to the media, the Cowboys have been undefeated the past 16 years and currently have the greatest roster ever assembled. That is the media talking. The fact is, the Cowboys do have a very solid roster, and the one biggest weakness the Cowboys have had the past few seasons, their offensive line, has been addressed through the draft. Of course the Cowboys have some dude named Tony Romo under center, and while Romo does get a lot of hate, the fact is, Romo is a very good NFL quarterback. Romo just tends to try and force the ball and sometimes tries to make plays that simply aren’t there. As far as skill position players go, the Cowboys are absolutely loaded. Dallas has one of the best wideouts in the game in Dez Bryant, with a solid number two in Miles Austin (who is in a contract year by the way). At tight end the Cowboys of course have Witten, who may in fact go down as one of the best tight ends ever. The backfield is a potential weakness for this team as well, as we saw last season. Murray went down with an injury, and the Cowboys lack of solid RB depth was painfully obvious as Felix Jones wasn’t getting it done, and now is with the Steelers. There is some young talent in the backfield for Dallas, but it is unproven and it's yet to be seen whether or not csomeone can step up and fill the shoes for Murray if he should go down. Bill Callahan is calling the shots for the Cowboys offense now and with Callahan at the helm, look for the Cowboys to have a renewed emphasis on the running game. Which is good for the Cowboys offense…bad for Dez Bryant’s ego, which, as we have seen before, could be an issue later in the season. Defensively, the Cowboys have, in my opinion, the best outside linebacker in the game in Ware, and there is no sign of Ware slowing down any time soon. The secondary will be solid, but it will be interesting to see how long it takes this team to gel under their new defensive scheme brought in by Monte Kiffin.
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The New York Giants, much like the Cowboys, can do no wrong, and if something does go wrong, it surely isn’t their fault. Eli Manning is under center for the Giants again and now Eli has a healthy fleet of receivers at his disposal, something he was missing most of last season. The Giants also have one of the better young running backs in the league in David Wilson, who came on for the Giants late last season. New York will be able to move the ball this year, but my big worry for the G-Men is their defense. The secondary for the Giants has been atrocious, as the Giants just can’t seem to keep anybody back there healthy. New York simply does not have the talent in the secondary to sustain coverage for very long, so it will be up to their defensive front to try and create as much pressure as possible. The Giants still have Pierre-Paul and Tuck on the ends, and even though these two are aging a bit, there is no real sign in either one of these pass rushing specialists that they'll be slowing down anytime soon.
This line has essentially stayed put since it opened, with the only dramatic difference being a few pricing differences along the way. As of right now, the line is set at Dallas -3, but expect that to drop a bit before kick (maybe only in price), as more and more Cowboy fans will be hitting it as Sunday night approaches. As it stands right now, approximately 69 percent of the bets have been placed on the Cowboys, which could mean some bigger money has come in on the Giants.
The Cowboys have struggled at home since the opening of Jerry-Worl and my belief (and I’m not the only one) is that the Cowboys are so distracted with the carnival-like atmosphere before and during the game that the focus and preparation gets interrupted. Also, Eli Manning has been a Cowboy-killer in Dallas, and just last season in October, the Giants defeated the Cowboys in Dallas 29-24. I don’t know if the Giants have enough to get the outright win this time around, but getting a FG with a team that has owned the other at that stadium, looks like a solid play to me. I’ll be taking the Giants here, and if the price is right, may put a little something on the Money Line as well.