Green Bay Packers vs. Washington Redskins Free Pick 9/15/13
Washington Redskins (0-1) at Green Bay Packers (0-1)
NFL Football: Sunday, September 15, 2013 at 1:00 pm (Lambeau Field)
The Line: Green Bay Packers -7.5 -- Over/Under: 50 See the Latest Odds
The Washington Redskins head to Lambeau Field on Sunday to face off against Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers.
The Green Bay Packers are starting their season 0-1 on the season after a difficult loss to their Achilles heel of late, the San Francisco 49ers. There was a lot of talk before this game about how the Packers were going to shut down Colin Kaepernick and the Niners ground game, the read option in general. Well, the Packers did just that. They shut it down by having linebacker Clay Mathews just attack the backfield once he saw Colin put the ball out there. Mathews attacked the mesh point (the point where the back meets the ball) and once Coin made a decision where to go with it, Mathews was in position. This would be fine, except the Packers completely sold out on the run, and forced Kaepernick to beet them through the air. He did. The Packers defense allowed 494 total yards to the 49ers on the day, 412 of which came through the air. The Packers offense had a good day as well (as is usually the case when you have Aaron Rodgers) putting up 28 points and 385 yards, but it wasn’t enough to keep up with the Inners. Look for the Packers to employ a similar tactic against Robert Griffin on Sunday, forcing Griffin to beat them through the air.
Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports
The Washington Redskins played in what was one of the more anticipated NFL games since Chip Kelly announced he was the Eagles head coach. The Redskins were the first team to meet up with Kelly’s new offense, and they got a lesson. The Redskin defense was tired and confused early on as Kelly’s fast paced, spread option attack was introduced to the NFL at the expense of the Redskins. Robert Griffin looked sluggish in the first half, but that was expected as the ‘Skins signal caller didn’t take one preseason snap. After the break Griffin appeared to be himself again, with the knee looking just fine. Griffin finished with a solid night against the Eagles, throwing for 329 yards and two scores, while also throwing two picks. You have to kind of feel bad for the Redskins defense as the ‘Skins had to face the Eagles new offense in week one, and now have to go on the road to face a very mad Packers team. Look for the Redskins to limit the read option from Griffin as the Redskins coaches will watch the Packer/Niner tape, and won’t want Mr. Mathews eating their quarterback for lunch.
The Redskins have been a decent road team the past few seasons, going 8-7 overall on the road, with an ATS record of 10-5. The Packers, of course, are excellent at Lambeau, going 16-2 overall with an ATS record of 13-5 in their last 18 home games.
I’ve seen this line anywhere from -7.5 to -9.5 depending on which offshore book I was looking at. Normally I like being on the dog side of 7.5, but I just can’t see backing the Redskins in this spot. The Packers destroyed the read option attack of the Niners, and with that strategy fresh on their minds, look for the Packers to employ the same strategy here on Sunday. Griffin will have to beat the Packers through the air, and while some plays will be made, it won’t be enough as Rodgers will be Rodgers and put up points a plenty for the Packers.