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Houston Texans vs. Seattle Seahawks Free PIck 9/29/13

Seattle Seahawks (3-0) at Houston Texans (2-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, September 29, 2013 at 1:00 pm (Reliant Stadium)

The Line: Houston Texans +2.5 -- Over/Under: 41.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: Fox

The Seattle Seahawks head to Texas on Sunday to face off against the Houston Texans at Reliant Stadium.

The Houston Texans are starting their season off 2-1 this year, and will have a tough task ahead of them on Sunday when the Texans host the Seattle Seahawks.  The Texans, once again have one of the best defenses in the league as Houston is allowing just 157.7 yards per game through the air, and 91.3 yards per game on the ground.  The Texans are also moving the ball well, ranking ninth in the league in both passing, and rushing yardage per game.  All those stats look nice and all, but Houston fans will be the first to say that there is cause for concern in Houston.  The Texans still have a negative point differential on the season at -4.  In Houston’s two wins this season, the Texans beat the Chargers in San Diego to open the season, a game they trailed most of the way and could have very easily lost, and Houston also could have very easily lost to the Titans at Reliant Stadium in week two.  The loss for the Houston finally did come this past week when the Texans were blown out by the Ravens 30-9.  Houston had just 264 yards of total offense on the day, with their stud back, Foster, picking up just 54 yards on 12 attempts.  The Texans did lose Andre Johnson for the day, after Johnson hauled in just three grabs on six targets.  The Texans are still a good team, no doubt, but this is much more the team we saw at the end of last season, rather than the beginning when the Texans were atop many power rankings.

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Houston Texans vs. Seattle Seahawks Free PIck 9/29/13

Thomas Campbell-USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Seahawks are who we thought they were (sorry Coach Green).  The Seahawks are arguably playing the best ball in the league right now, and despite their suffocating defense, it starts with Russell Wilson.  Wilson may not put up all the flashy stats that the Manning’s and Rodgers do, but Wilson is incredibly efficient, and rarely makes mistakes.  The Seahawks offense as a whole is incredibly efficient, ranking eighth in the league on the ground with an average of 132.7 yards per game, and through the air, the Seahawks are averaging 247 yards per outing on the season.  This balance, gives the Seahawks a dangerous offense that can hurt you multiple ways.  Of course, you can’t talk about Seattle without mentioning their suffocating defense.  Seattle is ranked first in the league against the pass, giving up just 146.7 yards per game through the air, and on the ground, opposing teams are averaging just 95 yards per game.  No team in the NFL will admit it, for obvious reasons, but nobody wants to play in Seattle come playoff time.  It may be early, but how things are shaping up in the NFL right now it looks like Seattle is on track for at least one home game this post season…trouble for the rest of the NFC.

Seattle is 10-5 against the spread in their last 15 games as a favorite, and when playing against a team with a winning record, Seattle is an incredible 11-1 against the number in their last 12.  The Texans are 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games against an NFC West opponent, and in their last 181 home games, the Texans are 12-6 against the spread.

I’m going with the Texans here.  Seattle is a great team, but I like the way Houston matches up with them.  The Texans have been throwing the ball more than 60 percent of the time this season, and that is something that will likely change on Sunday.  The Texans are averaging 4.7 yards per carry this season, while Seattle’s defense can be run on, as Seattle is allowing 4.1 yard per game.  I also like the Houston’s defensive line against the offensive line of the Seahawks as I feel this group could give Wilson some problems.  Also, Seattle doesn’t play nearly as well on the road as at home.  I’m not calling for an outright win for the Texans, but getting near a field goal at home, I’ll take it.

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