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Indianapolis Colts vs. Seattle Seahawks Free Pick 10/6/13

Seattle Seahawks (4-0) at Indianapolis Colts (3-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 6, 2013 at 1:00 pm (Lucas Oil Stadium)

The Line: Indianapolis Colts +3 -- Over/Under: 43 See the Latest Odds

TV: Fox

The Seattle Seahawks head to Indy on Sunday to face off against the Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium.

The Indianapolis Colts are sitting at 3-1 this season, and so far are surpassing many preseason expectations.  Indianapolis started off the season with a win against the Raiders, and then fell to the up and coming Miami Dolphins.  The Colts were then double digit underdogs to the Niners in San Francisco in week three, and in what may be an early season turning point for this team, the Colts manhandled San Francisco, defeating the Niners 27-7.  Last weekend the Colts faced the Jags, and even though there was fear of this being a trap game for the Colts, sandwiched between Seattle and the Niners, the Colts showed maturity and did what they were supposed to do, and that was beat the tar out of the Jags.  The Colts beat the Jaguars 37-3, and held the Jaguars to just 205 total yards on the day.  Luck has been excellent this season, completing just over 64 percent of his passes, for 918 yards and five scores, averaging a solid 7.2 yards per completion.  Last Sunday was the first real game for Richardson at the tail back spot for the Colts, and while Trent did look skittish at times, the new back is quickly finding his footing in the Indianapolis offense.  Richardson carried the ball 20 times on the day, racking up 60 yards and a score, making those two scores for Richardson in two games as a Colt. 

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Indianapolis Colts vs. Seattle Seahawks Free Pick 10/6/13

Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Seahawks are kinda good.  Seattle got pushed around by the Texans last Sunday, and still, somehow found a way to get the win in Houston.  The Seahawks fell behind 20-3 to the Texans in the first half, and this was starting to look like a Houston runaway as Seattle was not able to manage anything offensively.  Russell Wilson came out hot in the second half, closing the gap to 20-6 in the third quarter, and then leading a touchdown drive in the fourth quarter.  Of course, if you have watched any highlight shows, or listened to any kind of sports radio you are aware that Schaub threw a pick six (imagine that) to Richard Sherman with just over two minutes remaining in the game, to tie things up at 20 apiece.  Each team exchanged possessions in the overtime period, until finally Seattle, aided by a questionable personal foul call on the Texans moved into field goal range, kicking the winner.  The Seahawks have an absolutely suffocating defense, especially in the back end.  Richard Sherman can be annoying as heck to watch, but you can’t deny his talent and his playmaking ability.  The offensive line is a huge concern for this team right now, but Lynch is an absolute stud out of the backfield, and Wilson has shown incredible maturity and seems to have that “it” factor, keeping Seattle in every game they play.

The past three seasons as a favorite, the Seahawks are 11-5 against the spread, and in all games when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points, Seattle is 12-1 against the number the past three seasons.  Even more impressive, in Seattle’s last 13 games against teams with a winning record, Seattle is 12-1 against the number.  The Colts are just 2-4 against the spread when coming off a win against a division rival, and at home this season, Indy is 0-2 against the spread.

Very tough call here, but I’m going to go with Indy at home.  Seattle on a neutral site probably wins a four game series with the Colts, but this isn’t baseball, and Lucas Oil is not a neutral field.  I love what Andrew Luck is doing with this team, fully taking command of his team and offense.  Fleener is really coming on for the Colts at the tight end spot, and I think in his third game with this offense, and this line, Richardson should feel even more comfortable.  Seattle has shown incredible toughness and resiliency, but back to back tough road games, especially considering what happened last week, looks to be too big of an obstacle for the Seahawks here on Sunday.

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