Cincinnati Bengals vs. New York Jets Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/27/13
New York Jets (4-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (5-2)
NFL Football: Sunday, October 27, 2013 at 4:05 pm (Paul Brown Stadium)
The Line: Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 -- Over/Under: 41 See the Latest Odds
The Cincinnati Bengals and the New York Jets face off on Sunday at Paul Brown Stadium in a matchup of AFC playoff hopefuls.
The Cincinnati Bengals are alone in first place in the NFC North and after making the playoffs the past two seasons they are hopeful of winning a playoff game and going further. The Bengals offense is averaging 21.1 points and 365 yards per game and they have a minus two turnover ratio. Andy Dalton has completed 65.9 percent of his passes with 11 touchdowns and six interceptions and he has been sacked 15 times. BenJarvus Green-Ellis is averaging 3.2 yards per carry with three touchdowns and Giovanni Bernard is averaging 3.9 yards per carry and he has 25 receptions out of the backfield. A.J. Green is having another big year with 43 catches and five touchdowns, Jermaine Gresham has 28 receptions, and Mohamed Sanu has 24 catches. The Bengals stronger unit is their defense allowing 19.3 points and 334.3 yards per game with five interceptions, 18 sacks, and six fumble recoveries. Vontaze Burfict has 74 tackles, Rey Maualuga has 49 tackles, and Carlos Dunlap and Geno Atkins have four sacks each. If the Bengals improve on their turnover ratio they have a real chance to make this a special season.
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The New York Jets are a positive surprise this season after an off-season of QB turmoil they hit week eight over .500. The Jets offense is averaging 19.1 points and 343.3 yards per game but they are minus 11 in turnover ratio. QB Geno Smith is completing 58.3 percent of his passes with eight touchdowns and 11 interceptions and he has been sacked 25 times. Bilal Powell is averaging 4.1 yards per carry and he has 15 receptions out of the backfield and Chris Ivory is averaging 3.2 yards per carry. Jeremy Kerley has 24 catches and two touchdowns and Stephen Hill as 19 catches and a touchdown. The Jets defense is allowing 23.1 points and 302.6 yards with two interceptions, 24 sacks, and nine fumble recoveries. David Harris has 57 tackles and two sacks, DeMario Davis has 52 tackles, and Muhammad Wilkerson has six sacks. The Jets need to turn their turnover ratio around and they have a legitimate shot at making the post season.
Cincinnati is 4-0 against the spread in their last four home games, 11-4-1 against the spread in their last 16 games overall, and 17-8-1 against the spread following a win. New York is 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games, 5-1 against the spread after gaining more than 350 yards in their previous game, and 7-2 against the spread in their last nine October games. The Jets have covered the point spread in the last four meetings of these two.
The total in this one is set at 41 and the under looks to be a solid play with two of the better defenses in the NFL and that is my free pick here. My stronger play is on who will cover the point spread and I will post my pick against the spread in the Premium Area.