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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cleveland Browns Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/27/13

Cleveland Browns (3-4) at Kansas City Chiefs (7-0)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 27, 2013 at 1:00 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)

The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -7 -- Over/Under: 40 See the Latest Odds


The Cleveland Browns will be in for a fight on Sunday when the Browns head to K.C. to face off against the Chiefs.

The Kansas City Chiefs are sitting at 7-0 on the season, remaining the only unbeaten team in the NFL at this point.  The Chiefs have one of, if not the best home field advantage in the league, and even though their offense is lacking a bit, defensively the Chiefs can run with anyone.  Kansas City is coming off a solid win against a banged up Houston team, defeating the Texans 17-16 last weekend.  The Chiefs are averaging 24.1 points per game this season, but that stat is misleading somewhat as Kansas City’s defense has been forcing turnovers left and right, and either scoring or giving this offense incredibly good field position.  You think Andy Reid, you think passing game first.  That is the case once again in K.C. but the Chiefs do run the ball quite often (43 percent of the time) and when they do they are successful, averaging 4.2 yards per attempt.  Where this offense is lacking is in the passing game, and the big play ability.  Kansas City’s passing attack is ranked 27th in the league in yards per attempt, at just 5.9.  The Chiefs, even with Alex Smith at the helm, are also completing just over 58 percent of their passes on the year.  With this defense, the Chiefs can play with anyone, but if teams start hitting a few big plays and get a lead on K.C. I don’t know if the Chiefs have the offense to catch back up.

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cleveland Browns Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/27/13

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Browns are in a rebuilding season, don’t let anyone fool you.  The Browns traded away Richardson for a first round pick, and even though Cleveland has won three out of five since that trade, the Browns are still looking to deal wideout Josh Gordon for a high draft pick it seems.  The Browns, like the Chiefs are all defense, and while Cleveland is allowing 22.3 points per game on the year, like Kansas City, that number is misleading.  The Browns are ranked third in the league against the run, allowing just 3.5 yards per attempt, and the Browns secondary is holding opponents to just 5.3 yards per pass attempt.  Like the Chiefs, the Browns aren’t going to dazzle anyone, especially with Weeden under center, but with playmakers like Cameron at tight end, and Gordon outside, this offense does possess some big play capability.

The Browns are just 3-7 against the spread in their last ten games, and the total has gone under in six of the last eight road games for Cleveland.  The Chiefs have gone under the number in six of their last seven games.

I’m going to back the Chiefs in this spot.  I love the Browns defense, but with Weeden under center I just can’t trust the Browns offense to put up any kind of points reliably.  The Chiefs are outstanding at home, and this will be the third straight home game for Kansas City, while the Browns head to K.C. after getting waxed last weekend by the Packers.  Also something to consider here, the Browns have reportedly been shopping Gordon, which has to be a distraction heading into this game. 

This will be a low scoring game, and the Browns will likely keep it close, but the Chiefs at home are just too tough for this Browns team right now.

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