Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/10/13
Cincinnati Bengals (6-3) at Baltimore Ravens (3-5)
NFL Football: Sunday, November 10, 2013 at 1:00 pm (M&T Bank Stadium)
The Line: Baltimore Ravens +1 -- Over/Under: 42 See the Latest Odds
The Cincinnati Bengals head to Baltimore on Sunday to square off against the defending champion Ravens.
The Baltimore Ravens have fallen on hard times this season as the Ravens are sitting at just 3-5 this year. The Ravens were said to have a better defense than a year before, and while still solid, this is not the typical Ravens defense we are used to seeing. The Ravens are ranked 14th in the NFL against the pass this season, giving up 239.1 yards per game, while still playing the run well, allowing just 100.4 yards per outing. The biggest problem with this year’s Ravens team is their offense. The Ravens are just simply not moving the ball effectively, ranking 29th in the NFL on the ground, and 15th in the league through the air. Joe Flacco has struggled this season, ranking 19th in the NFL in total QBR rating at this point, with a QBR of 48.4, which is just below average. To be fair, Flacco is without some of his favorite weapons this season, but still, if this offense does not turn things around, the Ravens will be watching the playoffs this year.
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The Cincinnati Bengals are a solid 6-3 this season, and despite falling to Miami last Thursday night in overtime, the Bengals still have sole possession of first place in the North, and barring any major setbacks, or a run by the Ravens and the Browns, the Bengals should be division champs. The Bengals offense has really started to come around this season. Cincy has playmakers all over the field on offense, not just their star wideout A.J. Green. Tyler Eifert was a nice pick from Notre Dame, and Gio Bernard out of N.C. has also been big for this offenses production this season. Cincy can also play a little bit on the other side of the ball, as the Bengals defense is currently ranked 11th against the pass, and tenth against the run, allowing just 103.9 rushing yards per game on average. It was a very disappointing loss to the Dolphins this past week, as the Bengals looked to have the game put away, but Miami went down for a quick field goal to put the game into overtime, and then Dalton got brought down in the end zone in overtime, cementing the win for the Dolphins.
The Bengals are a stout 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games, and in those last 18 games, the total has gone under the number 12 times. The Bengals however, are just 1-4-1 against the spread in their last six games on the road. The Ravens are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games, and the total has gone under in all five of the last five home games for the Ravens.
Tough call here. The Bengals are the better team, but playing on the road in a divisional game is always tough. Both teams are coming off losses and will be looking to right the wrongs of the past week.
I’m giving a slight edge to the Bengals in this spot as they have more playmakers than the Ravens do, and I just don’t trust this Ravens offense. Baltimore will have to try and be balanced against this Bengals team, and with the way the Ravens have been playing up front this season, I think it will be tough going for the Ravens ground game. Look for the Bengals to get the win and the narrow cover on the road in Baltimore this weekend.