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San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pick, Odds, Prediction 12/29/13

Kansas City Chiefs (11-4) at San Diego Chargers (8-7)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 29, 2013 at 4:25 pm (Qualcomm Stadium)

The Line: San Diego Chargers -10 -- Over/Under: 45 See the Latest Odds


The San Diego Chargers and the Kansas City Chiefs face off on Sunday in San Diego in a week 17 NFL matchup.

The San Diego Chargers still have a chance to make the playoffs but they need to win and then need some help to make it happen. The Chargers need both the Dolphins and Ravens to lose and if they can knock off the Chiefs they would earn the final Wildcard spot in the AFC. Phillip Rivers is still one of the best QB’s in the game but despite the numbers and his quick release he just won’t ever get the notoriety unless he can somehow turn the Chargers into a winner. Ryan Mathews has rushed for 1,111 yards and looked the most inspired he has been in his career while the Chargers look to have finally found a replacement for Darren Sproles with Danny Woodhead who rushed for tough yards as well as catching 69 passes. Antonio Gates was healthier this season than he has been in several years and he leads the Chargers in receiving and Keenan Allen looks like he did in college and is an emerging star. Eric Weddle continues to get it done defensively and he leads the Chargers with 101 tackles and Donald Butler has 74 tackles but San Diego needs a pass rusher since the loss of Melvin Ingram. The Chargers average 24.6 points and 392.5 yards per game while defensively they are allowing 21.6 points and 368.8 yards per game. The Chargers have been competitive even against the best teams but they appear they may fall just short.

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San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pick, Odds, Prediction 12/29/13

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Chiefs were the last undefeated team in the NFL this season and have locked up the fifth seed in the AFC playoffs. The Chiefs had the biggest turnaround in the NFL this season after drafting first in the NFL Draft but at the same time they have lost four of their last six games. The Chiefs have little to gain with a win here which brings into question how much the starters will play with a road playoff game looming the following week. Alex Smith has been playing like he has something to prove at QB  and while he is unspectacular he has gotten he job done. Jamaal Charles has been outstanding rushing for 1,287 yards and 12 touchdowns and catching 70 passes with seven touchdowns. Dawyne Bowe and Dexter McCluster have proved to be more than capable at receiver as Andy Reid’s offense agrees with what the KC roster offers. Derrick Johnson has 107 tackles and Justin Houston and Tamba Hali each have have 11 sacks. The Kansas City offense is averaging 27.1 points and 337.6 yards per game while defensively they are allowing 18.5 points and 365.3 yards per game. Many of the Chiefs key players have ben dinged up or injured seriously over the past year or so and that could influence some of the decision making but at the same time this team could use the win to get some positive momentum going again.

San Diego is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games, 6-2 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 3-8-1 against the spread following a win. Kansas City is 6-1 against the spread in their last seven road games, 3-8 against the spread against the AFC West, and 1-6 against the spread against a team with a winning record. Kansas City is 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games in San Diego.

The Chargers won the first meeting of these two so I don’t expect the Chiefs to lay down and I will take the points but if the Chiefs starters aren’t going to play make sure you check back as I will update this pick. 

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