San Francisco 49ers vs. Philadelphia Eagles 9/28/14 Pick, Odds, Prediction
Philadelphia Eagles (3-0) at San Francisco 49ers (1-2)
NFL Football: Sunday, September 28, 2014 at 4:25 pm (Levi's Stadium)
The Line: San Francisco 49ers -5 -- Over/Under: 51 See the Latest Odds
The San Francisco 49ers and the Philadelphia Eagles face off on Sunday in the Bay Area in a NFL matchup of playoff teams from a year ago.
The San Francisco 49ers go their season started with a convincing win over the Dallas Cowboys but since then it has been two losses as they slip to last place in what looks to be a very tough NFC West division. In each of their games he 49ers have gotten out to first half leads but over the last two weeks against the Bears and the Cardinals they have let the leads slip away and have failed to score a touchdown in the second half. QB Collin Kaepernick has been using his mobility even on designed runs but the 49ers are ranked 19th in points scored and 21st in yards gained. Kaepernick has thrown three interceptions and taken six sacks, things his 70 percent completion percentage hasn’t been able to make up for. Frank Gore is averaging 4.0 yards per carry and Carlos Hyde 4.5 yards per carry but the running game hasn’t ben able to dominate nor control the ball. Steve Johnson has been a nice addition at receiver and with Michael Crabtree healthy and Anquan Boldin back the receivers for the Niners are better than ever despite Vernon Davis being nicked up. The 49ers defense is witout NaVorro Bowman and Aldon Smith and they are clearly missing them. Ptrick Willis leads the San Fran defense with 20 tackles, Justin Smith has three sacks, and Antoine Bethea has 12 solo tackles. It has been bad penalties that have hurt the 49ers the most. While I am not a fan of the ticky tack fouls the 49ers have seemed to be on the wrong end of some questionable calls at key points making it difficult for them to overcome them.
USA TODAY Sports
The Philadelphia Eagles are one of the last unbeaten teams in the NFL and each week it has been a furious rally after being down. In Chip Kelly’s second year as Head Coach in Philly there has been less talk of the tempo of the offense and more talk about it’s effectiveness. The Eagles offense is second in the NFL in points per game and sixth in yards per game. QB Nick Foles has been knocked around plenty but he has completed 60 percent of his passes with six touchdowns and two interceptions. Defenses are keying on the Eagles ground attack and LeSean McCoy is averaging just 2.9 yards per carry while Darren Sproles is averaging 6.9 yards per carry o 17 carries and he also has 14 receptions out of the backfield. Jeremy Maclin is the deep threat for Philadelphia leading the team with 16 receptions and three touchdowns while Jordan Matthews looks like he is becoming more and more part of the game plan and he has 11 catches. Defensively the Eagles have been forced into comebacks because they are 26th in points allowed and 26th in yards allowed. DeMeco Ryans leads the Eagles defense with 18 tackles, Bennie Logan has 16, and Malcolm Jenkins has two interceptions. The Eagles have just three sacks thus far and are minus one in the turnover department.
San Francisco is 24-8-3 against the spread following a game that they didn’t cover the spread, 1-4 against the spread in their last five home games, and 12-5 against the spread following a loss. Philadelphia is 5-2 against the spread against a team with a losing record, 5-2 against the spread in their last seven road games, and 1-4 against the spread against the NFC. Philadelphia has covered the point spread in five of their last six games against San Francisco.
I am expecting the 49ers to win this game as they should get out to an early lead and hold on as their receivers have a huge edge on the Philly pass defense but I do see the Eagles offense making a game of it and making this too many points to be giving. Another thing to note, when the calls have been just obviously so bad against one team for a few weeks, chances are we won’t see as much laudry flying against the Niners here.
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