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Browns at Bengals - 11/6/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cleveland Browns (5-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (5-2-1)

NFL Football: Thursday, November 6, 2014 at 8:25 pm (Paul Brown Stadium)

The Line: Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 -- Over/Under: 44.5 See the Latest Odds


The Cleveland Browns and Cincinnati Bengals square off Thursday night at Paul Brown Stadium.

The Cleveland Browns have won four of their last five games and remain in the thick of the AFC North race. The Browns continue to find ways to get it done, as Brian Hoyer is completing 57.9 percent of his passes for 10 touchdowns and four interceptions. Hoyer has thrown for 575 yards, three touchdowns and two picks in his last two games. The Browns have 33 passing plays of 20 or more yards and are averaging close to 14 yards per reception. Andrew Hawkins and Taylor Gabriel lead the way with a combined 908 receiving yards and two touchdowns, while Miles Austin has topped 50 receiving yards in four of his last six games. The Browns ground game is averaging 3.6 yards per carry, as a trio of Ben Tate, Terrance West and Isaiah Crowell has produced all of Cleveland’s nine rushing touchdowns. No other Browns player has more than 11 rushing yards. Defensively, the Cleveland Browns are allowing 21.1 points, 391.8 yards, and they’ve forced 17 sacks and 13 turnovers. Karlos Dansby leads the Browns with 61 tackles and Paul Kruger has six sacks.

Browns at Bengals - 11/6/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Cincinnati Bengals have won two straight games and look to remain unbeaten at home. Andy Dalton is completing 64.9 percent of his passes for eight touchdowns and six interceptions. In his last three games, Dalton has four total touchdowns and three picks. The Bengals have 24 passing plays of 20 or more yards and are averaging nearly 12 yards per catch. Mohamed Sanu and A.J. Green have combined for close to 1,000 receiving yards and seven touchdowns, while Jermaine Gresham has caught 19 of his 33 passes in his last three games. The Bengals ground game is averaging 4.2 yards per carry and Giovani Bernard is listed as doubtful. That means Jeremy Hill gets the ball, a rookie who scored two touchdowns last week. Defensively, the Cincinnati Bengals are allowing 23.4 points, 394.9 yards, and they’ve forced 13 sacks and 13 turnovers. Reggie Nelson leads the Bengals with 53 tackles and Carlos Dunlap has 4.5 sacks.

The Browns are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games. The Bengals are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 home games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Browns are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings, while the home team is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

The Cleveland Browns have been pretty impressive over the last month, while the Cincinnati bengals have been up-and-down all year. The Browns are starting to believe they can sniff the playoffs and are playing with supreme confidence. I think the Browns have a decent chance to keep rolling and win this game outright, but the points seem to be a safe bet. I’m just not buying what I’ve seen from the Bengals lately.

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